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Zestafoni vs Betlemi Keda

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zestafoni play Betlemi Keda in the Liga 3 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zestafoni averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Betlemi Keda averaged 1.31 goals scored and 2.44 conceded. In past meetings, Zestafoni won 0, Betlemi Keda won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 31, 2024 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for Zestafoni and 0.99 for Betlemi Keda. This points to a Zestafoni double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Zestafoni
27%
Draws
36%
Betlemi Keda
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Zestafoni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Zestafoni picked up more points recently compared to Betlemi Keda.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Zestafoni Clean Sheet 23%
Betlemi Keda Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zestafoni Betlemi Keda
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 7
Draws 11 6
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.13 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.44

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2024 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Betlemi Keda
2:4
May 9, 2024 Liga 3
Betlemi Keda vs Zestafoni
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zestafoni Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolotashvili D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mishvelidze D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Betlemi Keda Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabadze N.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kakhiani G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zestafoni 38 / 100
Betlemi Keda 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zestafoni Betlemi Keda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zestafoni or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zestafoni attacking → ← attacking Betlemi Keda

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zestafoni scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Betlemi Keda let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Zestafoni went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Betlemi Keda lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 27
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Gonio30204681:3664
2Meshakhte Tkibuli30186654:2260
3Merani Martvili30177660:3058
4Iberia 1999 2301510552:2655
5Orbi30159650:3254
6Gori30158749:2253
7Merani Tbilisi301110949:4243
8Betlemi Keda301251349:6141
9Locomotive Tbilisi 2301241447:5840
10FC Gardabani30971442:4134
11FC Tbilisi 202530961546:5433
12Borjomi30841831:5828
13Bakhmaro Chokhatauri30691519:3327
14Zestafoni306111332:4926
15Matchakhela30661830:8624
16Guria30561930:7121