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Zestafoni vs Borjomi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2023 game between Zestafoni and Borjomi finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Borjomi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zestafoni
33%
Draws
27%
Borjomi
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Zestafoni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Borjomi come out ahead of Zestafoni on wins alone.
  • Zestafoni are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Borjomi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Zestafoni Clean Sheet 20%
Borjomi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zestafoni Borjomi
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 9
Draws 11 5
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2024 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Zestafoni
2:1
Jun 9, 2024 Georgian Cup
Borjomi vs Zestafoni
3:2
Apr 11, 2024 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Borjomi
2:1
Nov 21, 2023 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Zestafoni
3:0
Aug 10, 2023 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Borjomi
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zestafoni 40 / 100
Borjomi 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zestafoni Borjomi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borjomi let in goals in 89% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Zestafoni scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Zestafoni stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Borjomi
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zestafoni

(Home)
07 Dec
Meshakhte Tkibuli
3 : 0
Zestafoni
29 Nov
Zestafoni
2 : 1
FC Tbilisi 2025
21 Nov
Merani Tbilisi
2 : 2
Zestafoni
14 Nov
Zestafoni
0 : 0
Merani Martvili
07 Nov
FC Gardabani
2 : 2
Zestafoni
Page 1 of 6

Borjomi

(Away)
05 Dec
Khobi
2 : 1
Borjomi
28 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
WIT Georgia
20 Nov
Shturmi
3 : 1
Borjomi
13 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
Dusheti
06 Nov
Margveti 2006
2 : 2
Borjomi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dusheti30215466:2168
2Shturmi30215467:2768
3FC Rustavi30194763:3161
4FC Tbilisi 202530193854:3560
5Meshakhte Tkibuli301510549:2455
6Orbi301551056:4150
7Iberia 1999 230129945:2645
8Gori301341346:4843
9Guria301161344:5539
10Locomotive Tbilisi 2301051550:4235
11Borjomi301121750:7835
12Bakhmaro Chokhatauri30961547:4733
13Zestafoni306111333:4629
14Matchakhela30822038:8126
15FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II304101630:5822
16Chikhura Sachkhere30212723:1017
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)