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Zestafoni vs Borjomi Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2023 game between Zestafoni and Borjomi finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Borjomi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Zestafoni
35%
Draws
9%
Borjomi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zestafoni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Borjomi come out ahead of Zestafoni on wins alone.
  • Zestafoni are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Borjomi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Zestafoni Clean Sheet 20%
Borjomi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zestafoni Borjomi
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 8
Draws 11 5
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.13 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2024 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Zestafoni
2:1
Jun 9, 2024 Georgian Cup
Borjomi vs Zestafoni
3:2
Apr 11, 2024 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Borjomi
2:1
Nov 21, 2023 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Zestafoni
3:0
Aug 10, 2023 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Borjomi
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zestafoni 40 / 100
Borjomi 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zestafoni Borjomi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zestafoni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borjomi let in goals in 91% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Zestafoni scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Zestafoni stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Borjomi
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zestafoni

(Home)
07 Dec
Meshakhte Tkibuli
3 : 0
Zestafoni
29 Nov
Zestafoni
2 : 1
FC Tbilisi 2025
21 Nov
Merani Tbilisi
2 : 2
Zestafoni
14 Nov
Zestafoni
0 : 0
Merani Martvili
07 Nov
FC Gardabani
2 : 2
Zestafoni
Page 1 of 6

Borjomi

(Away)
05 Dec
Khobi
2 : 1
Borjomi
28 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
WIT Georgia
20 Nov
Shturmi
3 : 1
Borjomi
13 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
Dusheti
06 Nov
Margveti 2006
2 : 2
Borjomi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dusheti 30 21 5 4 66:21 68
2 Shturmi 30 21 5 4 67:27 68
3 FC Rustavi 30 19 4 7 63:31 61
4 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 19 3 8 54:35 60
5 Meshakhte Tkibuli 30 15 10 5 49:24 55
6 Orbi 30 15 5 10 56:41 50
7 Iberia 1999 2 30 12 9 9 45:26 45
8 Gori 30 13 4 13 46:48 43
9 Guria 30 11 6 13 44:55 39
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 10 5 15 50:42 35
11 Borjomi 30 11 2 17 50:78 35
12 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 9 6 15 47:47 33
13 Zestafoni 30 6 11 13 33:46 29
14 Matchakhela 30 8 2 20 38:81 26
15 FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II 30 4 10 16 30:58 22
16 Chikhura Sachkhere 30 2 1 27 23:101 7
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)