Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zestafoni vs Orbi Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Zestafoni
35%
Draws
26%
Orbi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zestafoni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Orbi have won more games recently than Zestafoni.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Zestafoni taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Orbi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Zestafoni Clean Sheet 18%
Orbi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zestafoni Orbi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 11 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2024 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Orbi
1:2
Mar 7, 2024 Liga 3
Orbi vs Zestafoni
2:0
Nov 14, 2023 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Orbi
2:2
Aug 3, 2023 Liga 3
Orbi vs Zestafoni
2:0
Nov 12, 2022 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Orbi
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zestafoni 36 / 100
Orbi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zestafoni Orbi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zestafoni scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Orbi conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Zestafoni stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Orbi
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zestafoni

(Home)
07 Dec
Meshakhte Tkibuli
3 : 0
Zestafoni
29 Nov
Zestafoni
2 : 1
FC Tbilisi 2025
21 Nov
Merani Tbilisi
2 : 2
Zestafoni
14 Nov
Zestafoni
0 : 0
Merani Martvili
07 Nov
FC Gardabani
2 : 2
Zestafoni
Page 1 of 6

Orbi

(Away)
17 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
2 : 0
Orbi
10 Sept
Orbi
2 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
03 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
3 : 2
Orbi
27 Aug
Orbi
1 : 0
Khobi
20 Aug
Margveti 2006
2 : 1
Orbi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dusheti 30 21 5 4 66:21 68
2 Shturmi 30 21 5 4 67:27 68
3 FC Rustavi 30 19 4 7 63:31 61
4 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 19 3 8 54:35 60
5 Meshakhte Tkibuli 30 15 10 5 49:24 55
6 Orbi 30 15 5 10 56:41 50
7 Iberia 1999 2 30 12 9 9 45:26 45
8 Gori 30 13 4 13 46:48 43
9 Guria 30 11 6 13 44:55 39
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 10 5 15 50:42 35
11 Borjomi 30 11 2 17 50:78 35
12 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 9 6 15 47:47 33
13 Zestafoni 30 6 11 13 33:46 29
14 Matchakhela 30 8 2 20 38:81 26
15 FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II 30 4 10 16 30:58 22
16 Chikhura Sachkhere 30 2 1 27 23:101 7
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)