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Zestafoni vs Orbi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Zestafoni
20%
Draws
38%
Orbi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zestafoni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Orbi have won more games recently than Zestafoni.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Zestafoni taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Orbi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Zestafoni Clean Sheet 16%
Orbi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zestafoni Orbi
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 6 19
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2024 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Orbi
1:2
Mar 7, 2024 Liga 3
Orbi vs Zestafoni
2:0
Nov 14, 2023 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Orbi
2:2
Aug 3, 2023 Liga 3
Orbi vs Zestafoni
2:0
Nov 12, 2022 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Orbi
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zestafoni 41 / 100
Orbi 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zestafoni Orbi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zestafoni scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Orbi conceded in 68% of 38 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Zestafoni stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Orbi
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zestafoni

(Home)
07 Dec
Meshakhte Tkibuli
3 : 0
Zestafoni
29 Nov
Zestafoni
2 : 1
FC Tbilisi 2025
21 Nov
Merani Tbilisi
2 : 2
Zestafoni
14 Nov
Zestafoni
0 : 0
Merani Martvili
07 Nov
FC Gardabani
2 : 2
Zestafoni
Page 1 of 6

Orbi

(Away)
25 Jul
Orbi
1 : 4
Dinamo Batumi
24 Jun
FC Rustavi 2
2 : 3
Orbi
21 Jun
Merani Tbilisi
1 : 1
Orbi
15 Jun
Orbi
1 : 3
Didube
28 May
Orbi
1 : 2
Guria
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dusheti30215466:2168
2Shturmi30215467:2768
3FC Rustavi30194763:3161
4FC Tbilisi 202530193854:3560
5Meshakhte Tkibuli301510549:2455
6Orbi301551056:4150
7Iberia 1999 230129945:2645
8Gori301341346:4843
9Guria301161344:5539
10Locomotive Tbilisi 2301051550:4235
11Borjomi301121750:7835
12Bakhmaro Chokhatauri30961547:4733
13Zestafoni306111333:4629
14Matchakhela30822038:8126
15FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II304101630:5822
16Chikhura Sachkhere30212723:1017
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)