Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2006

Ordabasy 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zhambyl Taraz play Ordabasy 2 in the First Division 2006. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zhambyl Taraz averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Ordabasy 2 averaged 1.28 goals scored and 2.81 conceded. In past meetings, Zhambyl Taraz won 1, Ordabasy 2 won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Aug 14, 2007 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Zhambyl Taraz and 1.50 for Ordabasy 2. This points to a Zhambyl Taraz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Zhambyl Taraz

28%

Draws

34%

Ordabasy 2

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Zhambyl Taraz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Zhambyl Taraz picked up more points recently compared to Ordabasy 2.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Zhambyl Taraz Clean Sheet 16%

Ordabasy 2 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zhambyl Taraz	Ordabasy 2
Matches Played	32	32
Wins	6	7
Draws	11	4
Losses	15	21
Goals Scored	1.03	1.28
Goals Conceded	1.53	2.81
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2007 First League

Ordabasy 2 vs Zhambyl Taraz

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Jul 11, 2007 First League

Zhambyl Taraz vs Ordabasy 2

Possession: 40% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Sep 8, 2006 First League

Zhambyl Taraz vs Ordabasy 2

Possession: 53% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Jun 13, 2006 First League

Ordabasy 2 vs Zhambyl Taraz

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Oct 24, 2005 First League

Zhambyl Taraz vs Ordabasy 2

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhambyl Taraz 37 / 100

Ordabasy 2 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zhambyl Taraz Ordabasy 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zhambyl Taraz or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zhambyl Taraz attacking → ← attacking Ordabasy 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zhambyl Taraz scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Ordabasy 2 let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Zhambyl Taraz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ordabasy 2 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 25

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zhetysu Taldykorgan	26	25	1	0	119:14	76
2	Kaspij Aktau	26	19	3	4	63:20	60
3	Gornyak Khromtay	26	17	1	8	40:25	52
4	Cesna Almaty	26	16	4	6	64:30	52
5	Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty	26	15	5	6	39:25	50
6	Akzhayik Uralsk	26	16	1	9	56:31	49
7	Zhambyl Taraz	26	9	8	9	35:30	35
8	Aktobe 2	26	10	3	13	43:50	33
9	Munaily Atyrau	26	6	7	13	25:48	25
10	Ordabasy 2	26	7	3	16	34:65	24
11	Koksu	26	6	2	18	32:59	20
12	AI-Universitet	26	5	4	17	29:57	19
13	Kaisar Kyzylorda 2	26	4	3	19	23:71	15
14	Zhastar Uralsk	26	3	3	20	12:89	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Avangard Petropavlovsk	24	16	3	5	39:19	51
2	Asbest Zitikara	24	15	5	4	37:17	50
3	Shakhter Karagandy 2	24	12	8	4	25:12	44
4	Spartak Semey	24	12	7	5	46:25	43
5	Kazakhmys	24	12	5	7	36:35	41
6	Shakhter Yunost	24	11	5	8	41:25	38
7	Aksu	24	10	6	8	32:28	36
8	Ertis Pavlodar 2	24	10	4	10	38:28	34
9	Rakhat Astana	24	9	6	9	27:26	33
10	Vostok Oskemen 2	24	9	5	10	33:37	32
11	Tobol 2	24	4	4	16	20:41	16
12	Energetik Pavlodar 2	24	4	2	18	17:47	14
13	Batyr Ekibastuz	24	2	0	22	13:64	6