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Zhenis vs CSKA Almaty

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zhenis in this First Division 2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zhenis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Zhenis
20%
Draws
46%
CSKA Almaty
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSKA Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • CSKA Almaty haven't matched Zhenis's recent run of results.
  • CSKA Almaty are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular First Division 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 20%
CSKA Almaty Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhenis CSKA Almaty
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.27 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2014 First League
Zhenis vs CSKA Almaty
2:0
Apr 19, 2014 First League
CSKA Almaty vs Zhenis
3:3
Oct 26, 2013 First League
Zhenis vs CSKA Almaty
1:1
Mar 31, 2013 First League
CSKA Almaty vs Zhenis
0:2
Oct 13, 2012 First League
Zhenis vs CSKA Almaty
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhenis 28 / 100
CSKA Almaty 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhenis CSKA Almaty

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Almaty Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Almaty let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Zhenis scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Zhenis stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zhenis VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhenis

(Home)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Zhenis
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0
Zhenis
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0
Altai
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CSKA Almaty

(Away)
22 Mar
CSKA Almaty
2 : 2
FC Ruzaevka
19 Mar
Maqtaaral
1 : 1
CSKA Almaty
24 Oct
FK Kyran
2 : 0
CSKA Almaty
17 Oct
CSKA Almaty
3 : 2
Kaspij Aktau
11 Oct
Bayterek Astana
0 : 2
CSKA Almaty
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Okzhetpes 28 21 1 6 59:33 64
2 FK Kyran 28 19 3 6 60:30 60
3 Zhenis 28 17 4 7 54:29 55
4 Akzhayik Uralsk 28 16 7 5 46:24 55
5 Kaspij Aktau 28 17 4 7 44:26 55
6 Vostok Oskemen 28 14 5 9 48:31 47
7 FC Ekibastuz 28 11 8 9 40:35 41
8 Sunkar 28 11 7 10 42:39 40
9 Kyzylzhar 28 12 1 15 41:45 37
10 Bayterek Astana 28 10 2 16 34:52 32
11 Taraz-Karatau 2 28 7 6 15 23:42 27
12 CSKA Almaty 28 6 6 16 32:54 24
13 Shakhtar Bulat 28 7 2 19 26:40 23
14 Gefest Karagandy 28 6 3 19 16:56 21
15 Maqtaaral 28 4 5 19 33:62 17
Promotion - Premier League 2015 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2014 (Relegation)