Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zidgrad Idrija vs Ljubljana Svoboda

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ljubljana Svoboda in this 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ljubljana Svoboda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Zidgrad Idrija
17%
Draws
13%
Ljubljana Svoboda
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Zidgrad Idrija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Ljubljana Svoboda have won more games recently than Zidgrad Idrija.
  • Model gives Zidgrad Idrija a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Zidgrad Idrija Clean Sheet 14%
Ljubljana Svoboda Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zidgrad Idrija Ljubljana Svoboda
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 3. SNL - West
Zidgrad Idrija vs Ljubljana Svoboda
3:4
Aug 17, 2025 3. SNL - West
Ljubljana Svoboda vs Zidgrad Idrija
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zidgrad Idrija 66 / 100
Ljubljana Svoboda 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zidgrad Idrija Ljubljana Svoboda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZID Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Zidgrad Idrija scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Defensive concern: Ljubljana Svoboda conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Zidgrad Idrija went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zidgrad Idrija VS Ljubljana Svoboda
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zidgrad Idrija

(Home)
23 May
Bistrc
3 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
17 May
Zidgrad Idrija
0 : 0
Ziri
09 May
Tolmin
3 : 0
Zidgrad Idrija
02 May
Zidgrad Idrija
1 : 0
Fama Vipava
25 Apr
Zidgrad Idrija
0 : 1
Skofja Loka
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Ljubljana Svoboda

(Away)
23 May
Ljubljana Svoboda
2 : 1
Skofja Loka
16 May
IB 1975 Ljubljana
3 : 0
Ljubljana Svoboda
09 May
Ljubljana Svoboda
2 : 2
Izola
02 May
Vrhnika
5 : 1
Ljubljana Svoboda
25 Apr
Ljubljana Svoboda
1 : 3
Dob
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vrhnika26175463:2156
2Sencur26166446:2754
3Dob26155654:2950
4Tolmin26143947:3345
5Izola26126853:3942
6Rudar Trbovlje26118756:3941
7IB 1975 Ljubljana261131235:4436
8Sobec Lesce261061031:3236
9Skofja Loka26791037:4230
10Ziri26761330:5227
11Fama Vipava26681228:4226
12Ljubljana Svoboda26651530:5123
13Zidgrad Idrija26641634:5722
14Bistrc26541735:7119
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)