Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zielona Gora vs Bytom Odrzanski

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Mycan P.
45' Event
Kolodenny J.
73' Event
Jozwiak M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2024/2025 game between Zielona Gora and Bytom Odrzanski finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zielona Gora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Zielona Gora
6%
Draws
90%
Bytom Odrzanski
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bytom Odrzanski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zielona Gora come out ahead of Bytom Odrzanski on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bytom Odrzanski a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zielona Gora here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Zielona Gora Clean Sheet 14%
Bytom Odrzanski Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zielona Gora Bytom Odrzanski
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 24 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.13 3
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Zielona Gora vs Bytom Odrzanski
4:1
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Zielona Gora vs Bytom Odrzanski
4:2
Sep 28, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Bytom Odrzanski vs Zielona Gora
0:1
Jul 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Bytom Odrzanski vs Zielona Gora
1:3
Apr 27, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Bytom Odrzanski vs Zielona Gora
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zielona Gora Compare

Top Goalscorer Mycan P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kolodenny J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Bytom Odrzanski Compare

Top Goalscorer Jozwiak M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zielona Gora 10 / 100
Bytom Odrzanski 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zielona Gora Bytom Odrzanski

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BYT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Zielona Gora's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Bytom Odrzanski has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Zielona Gora has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zielona Gora VS Bytom Odrzanski
2.13 Goals Scored 3
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.67
63% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Slask Wroclaw II34236575:3075
2Kluczbork34216769:2369
3Legnica II34207772:4567
4Carina Gubin34196962:3663
5Warta Gorzow34187957:3961
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341414648:3456
7Sleza Wroclaw3414101056:4752
8Zielona Gora341571248:3752
9Polkowice341491148:4051
10Pniowek Pawlowice341541542:6349
11Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341391240:4348
12Gornik Zabrze II341391257:4448
13Stilon Gorzow341361542:4445
14Podlesianka Katowice341071751:6137
15Bytom Odrzanski34891742:7133
16Unia Turza Slaska34562328:7321
17Brzeg34392226:6018
18Polonia Slubice34133016:896