Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zielona Gora vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Flis P.
59' Event
Bargiel P.
(Penalty)
73' Event
Mycan P.

AI Match Summary

Zielona Gora in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zielona Gora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Zielona Gora
17%
Draws
70%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zielona Gora lately — more wins on the board than Karkonosze Jelenia Gora.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Karkonosze Jelenia Gora taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zielona Gora have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Zielona Gora Clean Sheet 14%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zielona Gora Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Zielona Gora vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
4:0
Nov 8, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Zielona Gora
1:2
May 24, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Zielona Gora
0:1
Nov 3, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Zielona Gora vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1:1
Mar 9, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Zielona Gora vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zielona Gora Compare

Top Goalscorer Flis P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mycan P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zielona Gora 15 / 100
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zielona Gora Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Zielona Gora found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Zielona Gora went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zielona Gora VS Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057