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Zielona Gora vs Pniowek Pawlowice

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Lisowski M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 game between Zielona Gora and Pniowek Pawlowice finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zielona Gora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Zielona Gora
6%
Draws
4%
Pniowek Pawlowice
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zielona Gora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pniowek Pawlowice haven't matched Zielona Gora's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Zielona Gora's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Zielona Gora Clean Sheet 68%
Pniowek Pawlowice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zielona Gora Pniowek Pawlowice
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 16 3
Draws 6 2
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 2.38 0.33
Goals Conceded 0.75 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Zielona Gora vs Pniowek Pawlowice
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Pniowek Pawlowice vs Zielona Gora
0:4
Mar 29, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Pniowek Pawlowice vs Zielona Gora
2:1
Aug 31, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Zielona Gora vs Pniowek Pawlowice
4:1
Jun 1, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Pniowek Pawlowice vs Zielona Gora
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zielona Gora Compare

Top Goalscorer Lisowski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Pniowek Pawlowice Compare

Avg xG / game 0.3
Avg xA / game 0.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zielona Gora 95 / 100
Pniowek Pawlowice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zielona Gora Pniowek Pawlowice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pniowek Pawlowice conceded in 96% of 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Pniowek Pawlowice's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Zielona Gora scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zielona Gora VS Pniowek Pawlowice
2.38 Goals Scored 0.33
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057