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Zimbru Chisinau 2 vs FCM Ungheni

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FCM Ungheni in this Liga 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FCM Ungheni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Zimbru Chisinau 2
33%
Draws
40%
FCM Ungheni
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FCM Ungheni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Zimbru Chisinau 2 haven't matched FCM Ungheni's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FCM Ungheni's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Zimbru Chisinau 2 Clean Sheet 10%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zimbru Chisinau 2 FCM Ungheni
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 15 20
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2 3.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Zimbru Chisinau 2
5:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga 1
Zimbru Chisinau 2 vs FCM Ungheni
0:2
Sep 19, 2025 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Zimbru Chisinau 2
3:3
Aug 8, 2025 Liga 1
Zimbru Chisinau 2 vs FCM Ungheni
3:2
Nov 17, 2017 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Zimbru Chisinau 2
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zimbru Chisinau 2 26 / 100
FCM Ungheni 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zimbru Chisinau 2 FCM Ungheni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Zimbru Chisinau 2 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: FCM Ungheni conceded in 76% of 34 recent games.

FCM Ungheni's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zimbru Chisinau 2 VS FCM Ungheni
2 Goals Scored 3.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Zimbru Chisinau 2

(Home)
24 Apr
FCM Ungheni
5 : 1
Zimbru Chisinau 2
17 Apr
Zimbru Chisinau 2
0 : 1
Oguzsport
10 Apr
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
0 : 1
Zimbru Chisinau 2
03 Apr
Zimbru Chisinau 2
0 : 1
Falesti
20 Mar
Zimbru Chisinau 2
4 : 1
Olimp Comrat
Page 1 of 6

FCM Ungheni

(Away)
27 Jun
FC Bacau
1 : 0
FCM Ungheni
16 May
Floresti
5 : 4
FCM Ungheni
06 May
FCM Ungheni
4 : 2
Victoria
24 Apr
FCM Ungheni
5 : 1
Zimbru Chisinau 2
17 Apr
Univer Comrat
4 : 3
FCM Ungheni
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stauceni15122145:1238
2Real Sireti15112252:2035
3Univer Comrat1590633:2527
4Sheriff Tiraspol 21543818:2715
5Olimp Comrat15311114:4410
6Falesti15121215:495
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floresti1594243:1331
2Zimbru Chisinau 21583430:2527
3Iskra Ribnita1583429:2927
4FCM Ungheni1573530:2224
5Oguzsport1524917:2810
6Victoria15211217:497
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)