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Stadium Background

Znicz Biala Piska vs Swit Mazowiecki

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Piekarski P.
37' Event
Paszkiel M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Znicz Biala Piska and Swit Mazowiecki finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swit Mazowiecki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Znicz Biala Piska
6%
Draws
90%
Swit Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Swit Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Znicz Biala Piska haven't matched Swit Mazowiecki's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Swit Mazowiecki a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Znicz Biala Piska Clean Sheet 10%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Znicz Biala Piska Swit Mazowiecki
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 11
Draws 2 6
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Znicz Biala Piska vs Swit Mazowiecki
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Znicz Biala Piska
4:0
May 14, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Znicz Biala Piska vs Swit Mazowiecki
3:0
Oct 13, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Znicz Biala Piska
0:2
May 15, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Znicz Biala Piska
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Znicz Biala Piska Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Swit Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Piekarski P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paszkiel M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Znicz Biala Piska 10 / 100
Swit Mazowiecki 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Znicz Biala Piska Swit Mazowiecki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Swit Mazowiecki conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Swit Mazowiecki's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Znicz Biala Piska found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Znicz Biala Piska VS Swit Mazowiecki
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Znicz Biala Piska

(Home)
30 May
Znicz Biala Piska
0 : 3
Legia II
23 May
Olimpia Elblag
2 : 3
Znicz Biala Piska
16 May
Znicz Biala Piska
2 : 6
Zabkovia Zabki
13 May
Wasilkow
3 : 3
Znicz Biala Piska
09 May
Znicz Biala Piska
0 : 2
Swit Mazowiecki
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Swit Mazowiecki

(Away)
18 Jul
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 2
Pruszkow
15 Jul
Pelikan
2 : 1
Swit Mazowiecki
11 Jul
Swit Mazowiecki
3 : 1
Hutnik Warszawa
30 May
Suwalki
3 : 2
Swit Mazowiecki
23 May
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 3
Plock II
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)