Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zrinjski vs Crystal Palace

Europe Europe

Conference League 2025/2026 Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom, Mostar
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Sarr I.
Assist: Larsen J.
45'
Larsen J.
55' Event
Abramovic K.
Assist: Mikic L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Zrinjski
6%
Draws
4%
Crystal Palace
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zrinjski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Zrinjski carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Zrinjski are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Zrinjski have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Zrinjski Clean Sheet 68%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zrinjski Crystal Palace
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 19 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2026 Conference League
Crystal Palace vs Zrinjski
2:0
Feb 19, 2026 Conference League
Zrinjski vs Crystal Palace
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zrinjski Compare

Top Goalscorer Abramovic K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Crystal Palace Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarr I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zrinjski 95 / 100
Crystal Palace 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zrinjski Crystal Palace

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zrinjski scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Crystal Palace let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Zrinjski remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zrinjski VS Crystal Palace
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zrinjski

(Home)
23 Jul
Valur
1 : 0
Zrinjski
17 Jul
Zrinjski
3 : 1
Posusje
16 Jul
Zrinjski
6 : 0
Arsenal Tivat
11 Jul
Siroki Brijeg
0 : 2
Zrinjski
04 Jul
Zrinjski
2 : 1
FK Sarajevo
Page 1 of 7

Crystal Palace

(Away)
28 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 1
Crystal Palace
28 Jul
Crystal Palace
0 : 3
Lens
25 Jul
Bromley
3 : 0
Crystal Palace
18 Jul
Crystal Palace
5 : 1
Swindon
27 May
Crystal Palace
1 : 0
Rayo Vallecano
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
KuPS0
Lech Poznan3
Shakhtar-
TBD-
Noah1
AZ Alkmaar4
Sparta Prague-
TBD-
Zrinjski1
Crystal Palace3
AEK Larnaca-
TBD-
Jagiellonia4
Fiorentina5
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
Shkendija Tetovo0
Samsunspor5
Rayo Vallecano-
TBD-
Drita4
Celje6
AEK-
TBD-
Sigma Olomouc3
Lausanne2
Mainz-
TBD-
Omonia1
Rijeka4
Strasbourg-
TBD-
1/8-finals
Lech Poznan3
Shakhtar4
AZ Alkmaar6
Sparta Prague1
Crystal Palace2
AEK Larnaca1
Fiorentina4
Rakow Czestochowa2
Samsunspor2
Rayo Vallecano3
Celje2
AEK4
Sigma Olomouc0
Mainz2
Rijeka2
Strasbourg3
Quarter-finals
Shakhtar5
AZ Alkmaar2
Crystal Palace4
Fiorentina2
Rayo Vallecano4
AEK3
Mainz2
Strasbourg4
Semi-finals
Shakhtar2
Crystal Palace5
Rayo Vallecano2
Strasbourg0
Final
Crystal Palace1
Rayo Vallecano0