Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zrinjski vs Velez Mostar

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom, Mostar
Zrinjski Logo

Zrinjski

1 - 0
FT
Velez Mostar Logo

Velez Mostar

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Bilbija N.
45'
Djurasek N.
46'
Sub
Lagumdzija D. In: Savic I.
Out: Lagumdzija D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Zrinjski
15%
Draws
21%
Velez Mostar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zrinjski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Zrinjski carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Zrinjski are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Zrinjski have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zrinjski, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Zrinjski have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Zrinjski Clean Sheet 68%
Velez Mostar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zrinjski Velez Mostar
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 21 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.73 1.12
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 WWIN Liga BiH
Zrinjski vs Velez Mostar
2:0
May 26, 2026 WWIN Liga BiH
Zrinjski vs Velez Mostar
3:0
May 13, 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup
Velez Mostar vs Zrinjski
1:1
May 6, 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup
Zrinjski vs Velez Mostar
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 WWIN Liga BiH
Velez Mostar vs Zrinjski
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zrinjski Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilbija N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Velez Mostar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zrinjski 95 / 100
Velez Mostar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zrinjski Velez Mostar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zrinjski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zrinjski scored in 88% of their last 33 games.

Velez Mostar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Zrinjski stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zrinjski VS Velez Mostar
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zrinjski

(Home)
19 Sept
Zrinjski
2 : 0
Velez Mostar
12 Sept
Borac Banja Luka
1 : 0
Zrinjski
06 Sept
Zrinjski
2 : 1
Siroki Brijeg
01 Sept
Zrinjski
3 : 1
BSK Banja Luka
29 Aug
FK Sarajevo
0 : 1
Zrinjski
Page 1 of 7

Velez Mostar

(Away)
19 Sept
Zrinjski
2 : 0
Velez Mostar
13 Sept
Velez Mostar
1 : 0
FK Sarajevo
06 Sept
Zeljeznicar
3 : 1
Velez Mostar
02 Sept
Velez Mostar
1 : 1
Radnik Bijeljina
28 Aug
Celik Zenica
3 : 0
Velez Mostar
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Famos Hrasnica 1
Jedinstvo Bihac 0
Laktasi 3
Zvijezda 09 1
Crni Vrh 0
Radnik Bijeljina 1
Krusevo 3
Borac Banja Luka 2
NK GOSK Gabela 5
Tuzla City 1
BSK Banja Luka 0
Rudar Prijedor 6
Romanija Pale 0
Zrinjski 2
Stupcanica 2
Leotar 0
Celik Zenica 1
Posusje 0
Hadzici 0
FK Sarajevo 3
Majevica 0
Velez Mostar 1
Gradina Srebrenik 1
Siroki Brijeg 4
Sloboda Tuzla 0
Zeljeznicar 2
Slatina 1
Slavija 2
Grude 0
FK Sloga Meridian 7
Tekstilac Derventa 4
SD Napredak 1
1/8-finals
Famos Hrasnica 0
Laktasi 1
Radnik Bijeljina 5
Krusevo 1
NK GOSK Gabela 1
Rudar Prijedor 0
Zrinjski 4
Stupcanica 0
Celik Zenica 0
FK Sarajevo 1
Velez Mostar 2
Siroki Brijeg 1
Zeljeznicar 4
Slavija 0
FK Sloga Meridian 4
Tekstilac Derventa 0
Quarter-finals
Laktasi 2
Radnik Bijeljina 4
NK GOSK Gabela 3
Zrinjski 5
FK Sarajevo 1
Velez Mostar 5
Zeljeznicar 1
FK Sloga Meridian 2
Semi-finals
Radnik Bijeljina 0
Zrinjski 2
Velez Mostar 6
FK Sloga Meridian 1
Final
Zrinjski 2
Velez Mostar 1