Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zurich vs Thun

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Letzigrund Stadion, Zürich
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Reverson D.
Assist: Berisha V.
25'
Vujevic D.
38' Event
Bertone L.
Assist: Rastoder E.

AI Match Summary

Zurich in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zurich.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Zurich
28%
Draws
50%
Thun
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Thun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Thun have won more games recently than Zurich.
  • Model gives Thun a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Zurich Clean Sheet 10%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zurich Thun
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 6 16
Draws 2 4
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Super League
Zurich vs Thun
2:1
Dec 20, 2025 Super League
Thun vs Zurich
4:2
Aug 23, 2025 Super League
Zurich vs Thun
0:4
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Thun vs Zurich
0:0
Aug 3, 2020 Super League
Zurich vs Thun
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zurich Compare

Top Goalscorer Reverson D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cavaleiro I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Thun Compare

Top Goalscorer Bertone L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zurich 22 / 100
Thun 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zurich Thun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thun let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Zurich found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Thun's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zurich VS Thun
1.88 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zurich

(Home)
26 Jul
St. Gallen
2 : 1
Zurich
18 Jul
Zurich
2 : 3
Greuther Furth
11 Jul
Zurich
1 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
10 Jul
Zurich
1 : 2
Sochaux
04 Jul
Zurich
2 : 3
Kriens
Page 1 of 6

Thun

(Away)
25 Jul
Luzern
1 : 3
Thun
21 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Din. Zagreb
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 2
Mannheim
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Elversberg
04 Jul
Thun
6 : 2
Xamax
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thun33242775:3774
2St. Gallen33179764:4060
3Lugano33169850:3857
4Basel331581051:4553
5Sion331313751:3552
6Young Boys331391165:6048
7Luzern3310101364:6140
8Servette339131157:5740
9Lausanne331091447:5739
10Zurich331041945:6334
11Grasshoppers33691840:6527
12Winterthur33472235:8619
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)