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Zurrieq vs Balzan FC

Malta Malta

Challenge League Centenary Stadium, Ta' Qali
Our Tip

Match Events

60'
Glamour E.
65' Event
Pulis N.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League game between Zurrieq and Balzan FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Balzan FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Zurrieq
40%
Draws
29%
Balzan FC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Balzan FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Zurrieq Clean Sheet 10%
Balzan FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zurrieq Balzan FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Challenge League
Zurrieq vs Balzan FC
0:1
Jan 14, 2024 FA Trophy
Balzan FC vs Zurrieq
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zurrieq Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Balzan FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pulis N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zurrieq 30 / 100
Balzan FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zurrieq Balzan FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zurrieq scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Balzan FC has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Zurrieq stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zurrieq VS Balzan FC
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zurrieq

(Home)
18 Apr
Zurrieq
4 : 2
Mgarr
12 Apr
Santa Lucia
3 : 0
Zurrieq
01 Apr
Zurrieq
2 : 1
Marsa
15 Mar
Zurrieq
3 : 3
Zebbug
07 Mar
Mtarfa
0 : 2
Zurrieq
Page 1 of 6

Balzan FC

(Away)
24 Jul
Birzebbuga
0 : 0
Balzan FC
17 Jul
Balzan FC
1 : 0
Gzira
11 Jul
Balzan FC
1 : 2
Valletta
19 Apr
Balzan FC
2 : 0
Melita
12 Apr
Balzan FC
3 : 3
Birzebbuga
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Balzan FC15112237:1035
2Melita15102336:1732
3Birzebbuga15101429:1531
4Sirens1592439:1929
5Swieqi1592432:2329
6Fgura1581633:2425
7Pieta1573527:2124
8St. Andrews1572619:2323
9Mgarr1564528:2422
10Gudja1557316:1322
11Santa Lucia1546527:2518
12Zurrieq1542921:2714
13Vittoriosa1533917:2412
14Marsa1524918:288
15Zebbug1522119:378
16Mtarfa1511139:67-2
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League (Relegation Group)