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Zwickau vs Hertha Zehlendorf

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 GGZ-Arena Zwickau
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zwickau play Hertha Zehlendorf in the Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026. Zwickau are favorites here. Recently, Zwickau averaged 2.52 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Hertha Zehlendorf averaged 1.29 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Zwickau won 3, Hertha Zehlendorf won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 13, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.31 for Zwickau and 1.19 for Hertha Zehlendorf. This points to a Zwickau double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Zwickau
15%
Draws
18%
Hertha Zehlendorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zwickau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Zwickau picked up more points recently compared to Hertha Zehlendorf.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.31 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Zwickau Clean Sheet 20%
Hertha Zehlendorf Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zwickau Hertha Zehlendorf
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 16 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 2.52 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Hertha Zehlendorf
1:0
Sep 19, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Hertha Zehlendorf vs Zwickau
0:1
Dec 6, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Hertha Zehlendorf
4:3
Jul 27, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Hertha Zehlendorf vs Zwickau
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zwickau Compare

Top Goalscorer Dobruna V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94

Hertha Zehlendorf Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zwickau 64 / 100
Hertha Zehlendorf 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zwickau Hertha Zehlendorf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zwickau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Zwickau & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zwickau attacking → ← attacking Hertha Zehlendorf

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zwickau scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Hertha Zehlendorf let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Zwickau went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hertha Zehlendorf lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 18
3.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lokomotive Leipzig34233865:3072
2Jena34226665:3572
3Zwickau34197852:4464
4Hallescher34196963:3663
5Erfurt341710768:4761
6Altglienicke341411950:4053
7Chemnitzer341491156:5251
8BFC Preussen341481250:5550
9Magdeburg II341541561:5549
10Luckenwalde3411101336:4543
11Babelsberg341181567:6541
12BFC Dynamo3410101445:5040
13Chemie Leipzig341241843:4940
14Hertha Berlin II341171646:6040
15Greifswalder FC349111440:4538
16Meuselwitz34891744:6133
17Eilenburg344111935:6823
18Hertha Zehlendorf34282430:7914