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Aguia FC vs Ypiranga

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 3 2023 game between Aguia FC and Ypiranga finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ypiranga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Aguia FC
39%
Draws
31%
Ypiranga
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ypiranga come out ahead of Aguia FC on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ypiranga here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Aguia FC Clean Sheet 20%
Ypiranga Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguia FC Ypiranga
Matches Played 21 31
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Aguia FC vs Ypiranga
2:0
Sep 17, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Ypiranga vs Aguia FC
1:0
Nov 18, 2023 Pernambucano 3
Aguia FC vs Ypiranga
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguia FC 31 / 100
Ypiranga 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguia FC Ypiranga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguia FC found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (21 games).

Defensive concern: Ypiranga conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Aguia FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aguia FC VS Ypiranga
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguia FC

(Home)
18 Oct
Caruaru
2 : 1
Aguia FC
11 Oct
Aguia FC
2 : 0
Ypiranga
08 Oct
CA Porto
1 : 0
Aguia FC
04 Oct
Aguia FC
1 : 0
Academica Vitoria
20 Sept
Aguia FC
1 : 2
Caruaru
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Ypiranga

(Away)
18 Oct
Ypiranga
1 : 2
Academica Vitoria
11 Oct
Aguia FC
2 : 0
Ypiranga
08 Oct
Ypiranga
1 : 1
Caruaru
27 Sept
CA Porto
0 : 0
Ypiranga
20 Sept
Academica Vitoria
0 : 0
Ypiranga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ypiranga 6 5 0 1 10:2 15
2 Ipojuca 6 4 1 1 13:2 13
3 Cabense 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
4 Santa Fe PE 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
5 Barreiros FC 6 1 2 3 4:13 5
6 Serrano PE 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
7 Aguia FC 6 1 0 5 3:10 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2024 (Main)