Sport Picks
Ahli Khartoum vs Hilal El-Fasher
Sudan
Premier League 2022/2023 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Hilal El-Fasher
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Ahli Khartoum haven't matched Hilal El-Fasher's recent run of results.
- Hilal El-Fasher are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Premier League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ahli Khartoum Clean Sheet 20%
Hilal El-Fasher Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ahli Khartoum | Hilal El-Fasher |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.83 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2023 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Hilal El-Fasher
1:1
Nov 29, 2022 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Ahli Khartoum
3:1
May 20, 2022 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Ahli Khartoum
0:3
Feb 11, 2022 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Hilal El-Fasher
0:0
Aug 10, 2021 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Ahli Khartoum
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ahli Khartoum 20 / 100
Hilal El-Fasher 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ahli Khartoum Hilal El-Fasher
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ahli Khartoum's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Hilal El-Fasher has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Hilal El-Fasher's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Ahli Khartoum VS Hilal El-Fasher
0.83 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
83% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ahli Khartoum
(Home) 13 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 1 Al Hilal Manaqil
09 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
0 : 2 Umm Mughad
03 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 5 Merikh Kosti
01 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 0 Rabita Kosti
27 Jan
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 4 Madani
Page 1 of 7
13 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 1 Al Hilal Manaqil
09 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
0 : 2 Umm Mughad
03 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 5 Merikh Kosti
01 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 0 Rabita Kosti
27 Jan
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 4 Madani
Page 1 of 4
Hilal El-Fasher
(Away) 09 Jun
Hilal El-Fasher
0 : 0 Hay Al Wadi
05 Jun
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
1 : 0 Hilal El-Fasher
02 Jun
Hilal El-Fasher
3 : 0 Alfalah Atbra
28 May
Umm Mughad
2 : 1 Hilal El-Fasher
23 May
Al-Merreikh II
2 : 0 Hilal El-Fasher
Page 1 of 7
05 Jun
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
1 : 0 Hilal El-Fasher
28 May
Umm Mughad
2 : 1 Hilal El-Fasher
23 May
Al-Merreikh II
2 : 0 Hilal El-Fasher
16 May
Hilal Alsahil
0 : 0 Hilal El-Fasher
05 Feb
Al-Merreikh Obeid
1 : 3 Hilal El-Fasher
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 55:12 | 53 |
| 2 | Al-Merreikh | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 33:8 | 48 |
| 3 | Hay al-Arab | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 39:26 | 48 |
| 4 | Haidob Al Nuhod | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 32:26 | 45 |
| 5 | Ahli Khartoum | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 35:29 | 39 |
| 6 | Hilal El-Fasher | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31:31 | 38 |
| 7 | Hay Al Wadi | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 29:27 | 38 |
| 8 | Alamal SC Atbara | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 24:28 | 35 |
| 9 | Al Shorta | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 28:34 | 35 |
| 10 | Kober | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 32:37 | 35 |
| 11 | Hilal Alsahil | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:28 | 34 |
| 12 | Wad Nobawi | 27 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 20:24 | 32 |
| 13 | Alfalah Atbra | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 21:19 | 29 |
| 14 | Ahli Shendi | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 14:26 | 28 |
| 15 | Tuti | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26:38 | 27 |
| 16 | Al-Ahly Merowe | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 19:36 | 25 |
| 17 | Al Zoma | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 22:40 | 22 |
| 18 | Rabita Kosti | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16:32 | 22 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2023/2024 (Qualification)