Sport Picks

Stadium Background

America de Pedrinhas vs Independente SE

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 2024 game between America de Pedrinhas and Independente SE finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America de Pedrinhas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
America de Pedrinhas
22%
Draws
18%
Independente SE
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: America de Pedrinhas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • America de Pedrinhas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives America de Pedrinhas a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
America de Pedrinhas Clean Sheet 20%
Independente SE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America de Pedrinhas Independente SE
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 13 5
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Sergipano 2
Independente SE vs America de Pedrinhas
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Sergipano 2
America de Pedrinhas vs Independente SE
3:0
Sep 28, 2024 Sergipano 2
America de Pedrinhas vs Independente SE
2:3
Sep 4, 2024 Sergipano 2
Independente SE vs America de Pedrinhas
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Pedrinhas 58 / 100
Independente SE 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America de Pedrinhas Independente SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Independente SE conceded in 86% of 22 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

America de Pedrinhas found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

America de Pedrinhas went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America de Pedrinhas VS Independente SE
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

America de Pedrinhas

(Home)
02 Nov
Desportiva Aracaju
4 : 0
America de Pedrinhas
25 Oct
Independente SE
1 : 1
America de Pedrinhas
18 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
1 : 0
Boca Junior
15 Oct
Olimpico EC
1 : 0
America de Pedrinhas
12 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
0 : 3
Caninde
Page 1 of 6

Independente SE

(Away)
01 Nov
Independente SE
4 : 2
Caninde
25 Oct
Independente SE
1 : 1
America de Pedrinhas
18 Oct
Atletico Gloriense
7 : 0
Independente SE
15 Oct
Independente SE
0 : 3
Frei Paulistano
10 Oct
Atletico Central
1 : 1
Independente SE
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarany SE541014:213
2America de Pedrinhas541013:413
3Desportiva Aracaju540116:512
4Frei Paulistano52218:68
5Flamengo SE50143:161
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barra SE52217:68
2Atletico Central51135:74
3Independente SE51136:94
4Boca Junior51137:124
5Caninde51048:203
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Play Offs)