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Antwerp vs Genk

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Bosuilstadion, Deurne
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Bangoura I.
45' Event
Heymans D.
Assist: Medina Y.
46'
Sub
Vandeplas G. In: Adekami F.
Out: Vandeplas G.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 game between Antwerp and Genk finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Antwerp
6%
Draws
4%
Genk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Antwerp

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Genk come out ahead of Antwerp on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Antwerp's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Antwerp Clean Sheet 20%
Genk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antwerp Genk
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Antwerp
0:0
Apr 3, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Genk
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Genk
3:0
Aug 3, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Antwerp
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Antwerp
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antwerp Compare

Top Goalscorer Scott C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Genk Compare

Top Goalscorer Heymans D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antwerp 85 / 100
Genk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antwerp Genk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genk has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Antwerp went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Genk's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Antwerp VS Genk
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Antwerp

(Home)
02 Aug
Leyton Orient
2 : 1
Antwerp
01 Aug
Millwall
1 : 0
Antwerp
25 Jul
Antwerp
1 : 1
Lierse SK
24 Jul
Antwerp
3 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus
19 Jul
Hasselt
0 : 2
Antwerp
Page 1 of 6

Genk

(Away)
02 Aug
Genk
2 : 1
Twente
01 Aug
Genk
3 : 1
TOP Oss
29 Jul
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0
Genk
22 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 0
Genk
18 Jul
Falkirk
1 : 0
Genk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Genk 10 4 5 1 11:6 38
8 St. Liege 10 5 2 3 17:11 37
9 Charleroi 10 5 2 3 12:8 34
10 Westerlo 10 4 1 5 14:17 33
11 Antwerp 10 4 1 5 12:16 31
12 Leuven 10 1 3 6 9:17 23
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)