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Arenteiro vs UD Ourense

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arenteiro in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arenteiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Arenteiro
6%
Draws
90%
UD Ourense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UD Ourense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UD Ourense lately — more wins on the board than Arenteiro.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on UD Ourense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Arenteiro Clean Sheet 13%
UD Ourense Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arenteiro UD Ourense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 16
Draws 7 9
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 0.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2025 Club Friendly
Arenteiro vs UD Ourense
3:0
Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs UD Ourense
1:0
Nov 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs Arenteiro
1:3
Feb 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs UD Ourense
1:1
Sep 29, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs Arenteiro
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arenteiro 10 / 100
UD Ourense 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arenteiro UD Ourense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U.D Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Ourense has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Arenteiro found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Arenteiro remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arenteiro VS UD Ourense
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arenteiro

(Home)
23 May
Lugo
0 : 0
Arenteiro
17 May
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Ponferradina
09 May
Guadalajara
2 : 0
Arenteiro
03 May
Arenteiro
0 : 4
Cacereno
25 Apr
Osasuna B
1 : 0
Arenteiro
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UD Ourense

(Away)
31 May
Conquense
0 : 2
UD Ourense
24 May
UD Ourense
1 : 0
Conquense
16 May
UD Ourense
2 : 1
Reus FC Reddis
09 May
Reus FC Reddis
0 : 0
UD Ourense
03 May
UD Ourense
1 : 1
Atletico Astorga
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