Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arucas vs SD Tenisca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Merino D.
82' Event
Garcia I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between Arucas and SD Tenisca finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arucas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Arucas
30%
Draws
34%
SD Tenisca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arucas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arucas come out ahead of SD Tenisca on wins alone.
  • Arucas are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Arucas Clean Sheet 19%
SD Tenisca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arucas SD Tenisca
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 5
Draws 11 8
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs SD Tenisca
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
SD Tenisca vs Arucas
1:1
Mar 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs SD Tenisca
1:0
Nov 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
SD Tenisca vs Arucas
2:1
Jan 14, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs SD Tenisca
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arucas Compare

Top Goalscorer Merino D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

SD Tenisca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arucas 36 / 100
SD Tenisca 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arucas SD Tenisca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Tenisca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 33 matches.

Arucas scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Arucas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arucas VS SD Tenisca
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arucas

(Home)
10 May
CD Marino
1 : 2
Arucas
03 May
Arucas
0 : 1
Mensajero
25 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1
Arucas
22 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
3 : 0
Arucas
18 Apr
Arucas
0 : 0
San Bartolome
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SD Tenisca

(Away)
10 May
Tamaraceite
5 : 1
SD Tenisca
03 May
SD Tenisca
4 : 0
Herbania
25 Apr
Las Palmas C
2 : 1
SD Tenisca
19 Apr
SD Tenisca
1 : 1
Panaderia
12 Apr
Telde
2 : 1
SD Tenisca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)