Sport Picks
Athletic Club vs America MG
Brazil
Serie B Estádio Joaquim Portugal, Minas Gerais 
Match Events
37'
37'
Tavares R.
Assist: Ruan Assis
39'
39'
Bruninho
42'
42'
Ian Luccas
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Athletic Club
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Athletic Club have won more games recently than America MG.
- Athletic Club are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 68%
America MG Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Athletic Club | America MG |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 4 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Serie B
Athletic Club vs America MG
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Mineiro
America MG vs Athletic Club
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 Serie B
Athletic Club vs America MG
0:2
Jul 8, 2025 Serie B
America MG vs Athletic Club
0:1
Feb 7, 2023 Mineiro
Athletic Club vs America MG
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Athletic Club Compare
Top Goalscorer Tavares R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
America MG Compare
Top Goalscorer Mastriani G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Athletic Club 68 / 100
America MG 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Athletic Club America MG
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ATH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
America MG has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.
Attacking prowess: Athletic Club scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Athletic Club has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Athletic Club VS America MG
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Athletic Club
(Home) 23 Jul
Athletic Club
2 : 1 Sao Bernardo
18 Jul
Atletico GO
0 : 0 Athletic Club
13 Jul
Ceara
0 : 0 Athletic Club
07 Jul
Athletic Club
0 : 1 Operario-PR
28 Jun
Athletic Club
1 : 0 Avai
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
Athletic Club
2 : 1 Sao Bernardo
07 Jul
Athletic Club
0 : 1 Operario-PR
28 Jun
Athletic Club
1 : 0 Avai
14 Jun
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Goias
30 May
Athletic Club
1 : 0 Fortaleza
Page 1 of 3
America MG
(Away) 21 Jul
Avai
2 : 1 America MG
17 Jul
America MG
1 : 1 Ceara
13 Jul
America MG
1 : 1 Londrina
02 Jul
Cuiaba
1 : 0 America MG
27 Jun
Operario-PR
1 : 0 America MG
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Avai
2 : 1 America MG
02 Jul
Cuiaba
1 : 0 America MG
27 Jun
Operario-PR
1 : 0 America MG
16 Jun
Fortaleza
0 : 3 America MG
30 May
EC Juventude
3 : 0 America MG
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 23:12 | 39 |
| 2 | Operario-PR | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 27:22 | 35 |
| 3 | Vila Nova FC | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:22 | 34 |
| 4 | EC Juventude | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 19:8 | 32 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | 31 |
| 6 | Novorizontino | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:18 | 30 |
| 7 | Goias | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 21:25 | 29 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 24:18 | 28 |
| 9 | Sao Bernardo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:17 | 27 |
| 10 | CRB | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29:32 | 26 |
| 11 | Atletico GO | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19:19 | 25 |
| 12 | Nautico | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24:24 | 24 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 14:13 | 24 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 16:16 | 24 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 16 | Londrina | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 26:27 | 20 |
| 17 | Avai | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | 20 |
| 18 | Ceara | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 16:22 | 19 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 19 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 14:38 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 13:31 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)