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Aubagne FC vs Chamalieres

France France

National 2 - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kabore A.
35' Event
Dibane B.
70' Event
Vialla T.

AI Match Summary

Aubagne FC in this National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aubagne FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Aubagne FC
28%
Draws
22%
Chamalieres
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Aubagne FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aubagne FC lately — more wins on the board than Chamalieres.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Aubagne FC taking it.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Aubagne FC Clean Sheet 68%
Chamalieres Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aubagne FC Chamalieres
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 10 11
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Aubagne FC vs Chamalieres
3:1
Sep 23, 2023 National 1 - Group A
Chamalieres vs Aubagne FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aubagne FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabore A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vialla T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Chamalieres Compare

Top Goalscorer Dibane B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aubagne FC 59 / 100
Chamalieres 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aubagne FC Chamalieres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chamalieres's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Aubagne FC scored in 78% of their last 37 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Chamalieres registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aubagne FC VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aubagne FC

(Home)
11 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 2
Aubagne FC
15 May
Aubagne FC
3 : 1
Caen
09 May
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1
Aubagne FC
01 May
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Stade Briochin
24 Apr
Rouen
3 : 1
Aubagne FC
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Chamalieres

(Away)
15 Nov
Fontenay
1 : 0
Chamalieres
18 May
Chamalieres
2 : 2
Toulon
11 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
4 : 1
Chamalieres
27 Apr
Chamalieres
0 : 2
Ales
20 Apr
Jura Sud
2 : 2
Chamalieres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aubagne FC261410233:1752
2Le Puy-en-Velay261210439:2446
3RC Grasse261012431:2142
4Jura Sud261011534:2341
5Cannes26913441:2140
6Hyeres26910737:2237
7Frejus Saint Raphael26812625:1936
8Toulon2698930:2935
9Andrezieux26971026:2834
10Ales26781123:3929
11Thonon-Evian26771227:3528
12Chamalieres265111026:4026
13Bourgoin Jallieu26491324:4321
14Toulouse II26181724:5911
Promotion - National 2024/2025 (Main)