Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Wilson D.
8'
8'
Adebiyi C.
Own Goal
16'
16'
Wilson S.
AI Match Summary
Bath City in this National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bath City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Chesham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Chesham have won more games recently than Bath City.
- Win probability leans Chesham's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bath City Clean Sheet 10%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bath City | Chesham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 17 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 National League South
Bath City vs Chesham
4:2
Sep 6, 2025 National League South
Chesham vs Bath City
0:0
Jan 25, 2025 National League South
Bath City vs Chesham
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 National League South
Chesham vs Bath City
0:1
Nov 24, 2012 FA Trophy
Chesham vs Bath City
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bath City Compare
Top Goalscorer Wilson S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Wilson D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Chesham Compare
Top Goalscorer Bennetts J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yearn K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bath City 18 / 100
Chesham 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bath City Chesham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Chesham conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Chesham lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Bath City's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Bath City VS Chesham
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Bath City
(Home) 01 Aug
Farnborough
3 : 0 Bath City
25 Jul
Bath City
2 : 2 Newport
18 Jul
Bath City
0 : 3 Plymouth
14 Jul
Bath City
0 : 2 Cardiff U21
25 Apr
Bath City
2 : 3 Maidstone
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Bath City
2 : 2 Newport
18 Jul
Bath City
0 : 3 Plymouth
14 Jul
Bath City
0 : 2 Cardiff U21
25 Apr
Bath City
2 : 3 Maidstone
11 Apr
Bath City
4 : 2 Chesham
Page 1 of 4
Chesham
(Away) 28 Jul
Chertsey Town
2 : 1 Chesham
21 Jul
Basingstoke
2 : 6 Chesham
25 Apr
Dover Ath.
2 : 2 Chesham
18 Apr
Chesham
0 : 2 Chelmsford
11 Apr
Bath City
4 : 2 Chesham
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Chertsey Town
2 : 1 Chesham
21 Jul
Basingstoke
2 : 6 Chesham
25 Apr
Dover Ath.
2 : 2 Chesham
11 Apr
Bath City
4 : 2 Chesham
03 Apr
Hemel Hempstead
0 : 3 Chesham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
