Sport Picks
Bath City vs Farnborough
England
National League South 2025/2026 Twerton Park, Bath 
Match Events
89'
89'
Tillson J.
89'
89'
Tillson J.
90'
90'
Anthony M.
AI Match Summary
The National League South 2025/2026 game between Bath City and Farnborough finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Farnborough.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Farnborough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Farnborough come out ahead of Bath City on wins alone.
- Model gives Farnborough a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bath City Clean Sheet 10%
Farnborough Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bath City | Farnborough |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 35 |
| Wins | 4 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Farnborough vs Bath City
3:0
Mar 10, 2026 National League South
Bath City vs Farnborough
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 National League South
Farnborough vs Bath City
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 National League South
Farnborough vs Bath City
0:2
Jan 1, 2025 National League South
Bath City vs Farnborough
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bath City Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Farnborough Compare
Top Goalscorer Anthony M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bath City 10 / 100
Farnborough 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bath City Farnborough
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Farnborough's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 35 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Bath City found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).
Recent resilience: Bath City stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bath City VS Farnborough
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Bath City
(Home) 01 Aug
Farnborough
3 : 0 Bath City
25 Jul
Bath City
2 : 2 Newport
18 Jul
Bath City
0 : 3 Plymouth
14 Jul
Bath City
0 : 2 Cardiff U21
25 Apr
Bath City
2 : 3 Maidstone
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Bath City
2 : 2 Newport
18 Jul
Bath City
0 : 3 Plymouth
14 Jul
Bath City
0 : 2 Cardiff U21
25 Apr
Bath City
2 : 3 Maidstone
11 Apr
Bath City
4 : 2 Chesham
Page 1 of 4
Farnborough
(Away) 01 Aug
Farnborough
3 : 0 Bath City
29 Jul
Farnborough
1 : 1 Portsmouth
18 Jul
Aldershot
2 : 1 Farnborough
11 Jul
Farnborough
1 : 2 Reading
07 Jul
Ashford Town
0 : 1 Farnborough
Page 1 of 7
18 Jul
Aldershot
2 : 1 Farnborough
07 Jul
Ashford Town
0 : 1 Farnborough
04 Jul
Cobham
1 : 3 Farnborough
25 Apr
AFC Totton
1 : 6 Farnborough
11 Apr
Dover Ath.
1 : 3 Farnborough
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
