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Bavarian United SC vs Thunder Bay Chill

USA USA

USL League Two 2023
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2023 game between Bavarian United SC and Thunder Bay Chill finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thunder Bay Chill.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bavarian United SC
40%
Draws
29%
Thunder Bay Chill
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Bavarian United SC haven't matched Thunder Bay Chill's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular USL League Two 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Thunder Bay Chill have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Bavarian United SC Clean Sheet 12%
Thunder Bay Chill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bavarian United SC Thunder Bay Chill
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 21
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2024 USL League Two
Bavarian United SC vs Thunder Bay Chill
1:3
May 31, 2024 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Bavarian United SC
4:2
Jul 12, 2023 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Bavarian United SC
4:1
Jun 18, 2023 USL League Two
Bavarian United SC vs Thunder Bay Chill
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bavarian United SC 30 / 100
Thunder Bay Chill 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bavarian United SC Thunder Bay Chill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.25 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Bavarian United SC scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Thunder Bay Chill conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Bavarian United SC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bavarian United SC VS Thunder Bay Chill
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bavarian United SC

(Home)
19 Jul
Menace
2 : 0
Bavarian United SC
14 Jul
Rochester FC
1 : 1
Bavarian United SC
10 Jul
Bavarian United SC
1 : 1
RKC SC
29 Jun
Bavarian United SC
1 : 3
Thunder Bay Chill
23 Jun
Bavarian United SC
1 : 0
Rochester FC
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Thunder Bay Chill

(Away)
20 Jul
Peoria IL
2 : 0
Thunder Bay Chill
13 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1
Thunder Bay Chill
11 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2
Thunder Bay Chill
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
2 : 0
Rochester FC
05 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
3 : 2
Minneapolis City
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