This match ends 2-1, with Blackpool advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
Blackpool
6%
Draws
90%
Nottingham U21
Draw rate projection: 6%Favored: Nottingham U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
Nottingham U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Nottingham U21's way, sitting at 90%.
Nottingham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Blackpool, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)67.8%
Blackpool Clean Sheet17%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Blackpool
Nottingham U21
Matches Played
29
30
Wins
11
17
Draws
4
3
Losses
14
10
Goals Scored
1.25
2
Goals Conceded
0.75
0.8
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
0.75
0.80
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 14, 2025EFL Trophy
BlackpoolvsNottingham U21
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Blackpool Compare
Top GoalscorerHansson E.
1 Goals
Assists LeaderBowler J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game0.96
Avg xA / game0.63
Nottingham U21 Compare
Top GoalscorerThompson K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game1.82
Avg xA / game1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Blackpool10 / 100
Nottingham U2184 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Blackpool Nottingham U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickNOT Win (2)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score1:2
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Blackpool scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Nottingham U21 has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Blackpool stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.