Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caersws FC vs Holyhead

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Owen C.
82' Event
Browne D.
90' Event
Owen C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cymru North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Caersws FC
44%
Draws
20%
Holyhead
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Holyhead lately — more wins on the board than Caersws FC.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Cymru North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 15%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caersws FC Holyhead
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Holyhead
2:2
Sep 27, 2025 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Caersws FC
1:1
Apr 28, 2018 Cymru Alliance
Holyhead vs Caersws FC
4:1
Oct 28, 2017 Cymru Alliance
Caersws FC vs Holyhead
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caersws FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Browne D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rowlands T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Holyhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caersws FC 35 / 100
Holyhead 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caersws FC Holyhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Caersws FC scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Holyhead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Caersws FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caersws FC VS Holyhead
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caersws FC

(Home)
01 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2
Caersws FC
18 Apr
Caersws FC
6 : 0
Denbigh
13 Apr
Caersws FC
3 : 2
Buckley
11 Apr
Guilsfield
4 : 1
Caersws FC
06 Apr
Caersws FC
1 : 2
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 6

Holyhead

(Away)
31 Jul
Ruthin Town
1 : 2
Holyhead
23 Jun
Holyhead
2 : 2
Holywell Town FC
18 Apr
Holyhead
5 : 1
Buckley
03 Apr
Flint Mountain
1 : 2
Holyhead
31 Mar
Denbigh
1 : 1
Holyhead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)