Sport Picks
Match Events
62'
62'
Sub
Robertson A. In: Kellyman O.
Out: Robertson A.
62'
62'
Sub
Robinson C. In: Willock C.
Out: Robinson C.
62'
62'
Sub
Osho G. In: Fish W.
Out: Osho G.
AI Match Summary
Cardiff in this League One 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cardiff.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cardiff have won more games recently than Port Vale.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Cardiff have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Cardiff Clean Sheet 13%
Port Vale Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cardiff | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 3.5 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 22, 2026 League One
Cardiff vs Port Vale
1:0
Aug 7, 2025 League One
Port Vale vs Cardiff
0:0
Aug 26, 2014 EFL Cup
Port Vale vs Cardiff
2:3
Feb 25, 2003 League One
Port Vale vs Cardiff
0:2
Aug 13, 2002 League One
Cardiff vs Port Vale
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cardiff Compare
Top Goalscorer Colwill R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75
Port Vale Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cardiff 31 / 100
Port Vale 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cardiff Port Vale
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cardiff scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Port Vale conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Cardiff stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cardiff VS Port Vale
3.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cardiff
(Home) 01 Aug
Cardiff
4 : 1 AS Roma
25 Jul
Forest Green
1 : 5 Cardiff
14 Jul
Cork City
1 : 6 Cardiff
11 Jul
Cardiff
0 : 6 Midtjylland
02 May
Mansfield
5 : 4 Cardiff
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Cardiff
4 : 1 AS Roma
11 Jul
Cardiff
0 : 6 Midtjylland
25 Apr
Cardiff
5 : 1 Northampton
22 Apr
Cardiff
1 : 0 Port Vale
11 Apr
Cardiff
2 : 0 Bolton
Page 1 of 3
Port Vale
(Away) 01 Aug
Blackpool
0 : 1 Port Vale
25 Jul
Port Vale
1 : 0 Murcia
18 Jul
Wigan
1 : 3 Port Vale
14 Jul
Port Vale
5 : 0 Tamworth
02 May
Port Vale
0 : 2 Lincoln City
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Blackpool
0 : 1 Port Vale
18 Jul
Wigan
1 : 3 Port Vale
28 Apr
Stockport County
1 : 2 Port Vale
25 Apr
Plymouth
2 : 1 Port Vale
22 Apr
Cardiff
1 : 0 Port Vale
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | 35 |
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)
