Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Casa de Portugal vs Tak Chun Ka I

Macao Macao

Elite League 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
King L. L.
52' Event
Chan Tai-Wai

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2021 game between Casa de Portugal and Tak Chun Ka I finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tak Chun Ka I.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Casa de Portugal
6%
Draws
4%
Tak Chun Ka I
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Casa de Portugal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tak Chun Ka I carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Casa de Portugal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tak Chun Ka I have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Casa de Portugal Clean Sheet 20%
Tak Chun Ka I Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casa de Portugal Tak Chun Ka I
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 3 8
Draws 3 1
Losses 24 25
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 5.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2022 Elite League
Casa de Portugal vs Tak Chun Ka I
0:6
Mar 26, 2022 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Casa de Portugal
6:0
Jul 17, 2021 Elite League
Casa de Portugal vs Tak Chun Ka I
0:2
May 1, 2021 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Casa de Portugal
2:1
Sep 26, 2020 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Casa de Portugal
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casa de Portugal Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Tak Chun Ka I Compare

Top Goalscorer King L. L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chan Tai-Wai
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casa de Portugal 85 / 100
Tak Chun Ka I 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casa de Portugal Tak Chun Ka I

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tak Chun Ka I conceded in 85% of 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Tak Chun Ka I registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Casa de Portugal's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tak Chun Ka I
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 5.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Casa de Portugal

(Home)
04 Sept
Casa de Portugal
1 : 2
CFB Macau
11 Jun
Casa de Portugal
0 : 6
Tak Chun Ka I
04 Jun
Must IPO
9 : 0
Casa de Portugal
29 May
Casa de Portugal
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
14 May
Cheng Fung
4 : 0
Casa de Portugal
Page 1 of 6

Tak Chun Ka I

(Away)
28 Jul
Tak Chun Ka I
2 : 3
Sporting Macau
19 Jul
University of Macau
4 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
14 Jul
Gala
10 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
29 Jun
Sporting Macau
4 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Must IPO181800115:454
2Benfica18150391:1545
3Tak Chun Ka I18112529:3035
4Cheng Fung18100840:4430
5Lun Lok1863926:5521
6Sporting Macau18621033:4520
7Policia1845917:3317
8Casa de Portugal18441022:6816
9Monte Carlo18261014:4612
10Hang Sai18221412:598
Promotion - AFC Cup 2022 (Qualification)