Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caudal Deportivo vs Gijon Industrial

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Talbot L.
63' Event
Carcaba J.
(Penalty)
67' Event
Carcaba J.

AI Match Summary

Caudal Deportivo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caudal Deportivo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Caudal Deportivo
30%
Draws
34%
Gijon Industrial
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caudal Deportivo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caudal Deportivo lately — more wins on the board than Gijon Industrial.
  • Model gives Caudal Deportivo a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Caudal Deportivo Clean Sheet 17%
Gijon Industrial Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caudal Deportivo Gijon Industrial
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Gijon Industrial
4:1
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon Industrial vs Caudal Deportivo
1:1
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Gijon Industrial
1:0
Sep 10, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon Industrial vs Caudal Deportivo
1:1
Apr 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon Industrial vs Caudal Deportivo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caudal Deportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Carcaba J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Acerete C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Gijon Industrial Compare

Top Goalscorer Talbot L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caudal Deportivo 36 / 100
Gijon Industrial 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caudal Deportivo Gijon Industrial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gijon Industrial has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Caudal Deportivo scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Caudal Deportivo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caudal Deportivo VS Gijon Industrial
2 Goals Scored 1.86
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.71
63% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Caudal Deportivo

(Home)
20 Jun
Caudal Deportivo
1 : 1
Atletico Central
14 Jun
Atletico Central
2 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
07 Jun
Covadonga
2 : 4
Caudal Deportivo
31 May
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Covadonga
24 May
Gijon B
1 : 2
Caudal Deportivo
Page 1 of 7

Gijon Industrial

(Away)
10 May
Gijon Industrial
6 : 2
CD Colunga
03 May
CD Mosconia
0 : 0
Gijon Industrial
26 Apr
Gijon Industrial
2 : 1
Union Club Ceares
19 Apr
Caudal Deportivo
4 : 1
Gijon Industrial
12 Apr
Gijon Industrial
3 : 1
Club Siero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llanera34294171:1891
2Covadonga34255488:2480
3Gijon B341910579:2967
4Caudal Deportivo34206859:3966
5CD Mosconia341671146:2955
6EI San Martin341491136:3651
7L Entregu CF3413101141:4249
8Union Club Ceares341291339:4045
9Praviano341191436:4242
10Club Siero341181539:4941
11CD Colunga341091538:5939
12Llanes348131344:5137
13Aviles Stadium346151321:4033
14Gijon Industrial347111636:5732
15Lenense347111636:5832
16Navarro346131538:5331
17Tuilla34762131:6027
18Real Titanico34392222:7418
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)