Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Seslar S.
Assist: Kucys A.
23'
23'
Hrka D.
26'
26'
Krasniqi Bl.
Assist: Krasniqi Be.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with Celje advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Celje come out ahead of Drita on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Celje have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Celje, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Celje Clean Sheet 20%
Drita Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Celje | Drita |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.29 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 26, 2026 Conference League
Celje vs Drita
3:2
Feb 19, 2026 Conference League
Drita vs Celje
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Celje Compare
Top Goalscorer Seslar S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hrka D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Drita Compare
Top Goalscorer Krasniqi Bl.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dabiqaj A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Celje 31 / 100
Drita 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Celje Drita
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Celje's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Drita conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Celje has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Celje VS Drita
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.29
63% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Celje
(Home) 04 Aug
Ararat-Armenia
2 : 1 Celje
01 Aug
Celje
1 : 1 Maribor
28 Jul
Celje
3 : 2 KF Egnatia
22 Jul
KF Egnatia
3 : 3 Celje
17 Jul
Celje
2 : 2 Mura
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Celje
1 : 1 Maribor
28 Jul
Celje
3 : 2 KF Egnatia
17 Jul
Celje
2 : 2 Mura
11 Jul
Celje
1 : 1 Istra 1961
08 Jul
Celje
4 : 3 MTK Budapest
Page 1 of 4
Drita
(Away) 28 Jul
Drita
2 : 1 Floriana
21 Jul
Floriana
1 : 1 Drita
14 Jul
Drita
2 : 3 FK Kauno Zalgiris
07 Jul
FK Kauno Zalgiris
1 : 1 Drita
29 Jun
Sepsi
1 : 0 Drita
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Floriana
1 : 1 Drita
07 Jul
FK Kauno Zalgiris
1 : 1 Drita
29 Jun
Sepsi
1 : 0 Drita
26 Jun
Lok. Sofia
2 : 1 Drita
21 Jun
CSKA 1948 Sofia
4 : 1 Drita
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
KuPS 0
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar -
TBD -
Noah 1
AZ Alkmaar 4
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
Zrinjski 1
Crystal Palace 3
AEK Larnaca -
TBD -
Jagiellonia 4
Fiorentina 5
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
Shkendija Tetovo 0
Samsunspor 5
Rayo Vallecano -
TBD -
Drita 4
Celje 6
AEK -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc 3
Lausanne 2
Mainz -
TBD -
Omonia 1
Rijeka 4
Strasbourg -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar 4
AZ Alkmaar 6
Sparta Prague 1
Crystal Palace 2
AEK Larnaca 1
Fiorentina 4
Rakow Czestochowa 2
Samsunspor 2
Rayo Vallecano 3
Celje 2
AEK 4
Sigma Olomouc 0
Mainz 2
Rijeka 2
Strasbourg 3
Quarter-finals
Shakhtar 5
AZ Alkmaar 2
Crystal Palace 4
Fiorentina 2
Rayo Vallecano 4
AEK 3
Mainz 2
Strasbourg 4
Semi-finals
Shakhtar 2
Crystal Palace 5
Rayo Vallecano 2
Strasbourg 0
Final
Crystal Palace 1
Rayo Vallecano 0
