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Charlotte Independence 2 vs Tobacco Road

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2025 game between Charlotte Independence 2 and Tobacco Road finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Charlotte Independence 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Charlotte Independence 2
6%
Draws
4%
Tobacco Road
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Charlotte Independence 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Charlotte Independence 2 come out ahead of Tobacco Road on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Charlotte Independence 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Charlotte Independence 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Tobacco Road Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlotte Independence 2 Tobacco Road
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 6
Draws 3 8
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 USL League Two
Tobacco Road vs Charlotte Independence 2
0:1
Jun 25, 2025 USL League Two
Charlotte Independence 2 vs Tobacco Road
3:2
Jun 18, 2025 USL League Two
Tobacco Road vs Charlotte Independence 2
2:5
Jul 6, 2024 USL League Two
Tobacco Road vs Charlotte Independence 2
3:0
Jun 22, 2024 USL League Two
Charlotte Independence 2 vs Tobacco Road
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlotte Independence 2 85 / 100
Tobacco Road 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlotte Independence 2 Tobacco Road

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlotte Independence 2's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tobacco Road's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Charlotte Independence 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Charlotte Independence 2 VS Tobacco Road
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlotte Independence 2

(Home)
17 Jul
Charlotte Independence 2
0 : 2
Appalachian FC
11 Jul
Charlotte Independence 2
3 : 1
North Carolina FC U23
08 Jul
South Carolina United Bantams
1 : 4
Charlotte Independence 2
29 Jun
Asheville City
1 : 0
Charlotte Independence 2
27 Jun
Hickory FC
0 : 2
Charlotte Independence 2
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Tobacco Road

(Away)
11 Jul
Tobacco Road
2 : 3
Port City
08 Jul
Salem City
1 : 3
Tobacco Road
01 Jul
North Carolina FC U23
0 : 0
Tobacco Road
27 Jun
Tobacco Road
2 : 3
Wake FC
24 Jun
Hickory FC
4 : 0
Tobacco Road
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