Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC

USA USA

MLS Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Saletros A.
18' Event
Biel P.
Assist: Toklomati I.
20' Event
Lewandowski R.
Assist: Zinckernagel P.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Chicago Fire and Charlotte FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chicago Fire.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chicago Fire
40%
Draws
29%
Charlotte FC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chicago Fire come out ahead of Charlotte FC on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 14%
Charlotte FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Fire Charlotte FC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC
2:1
Jun 29, 2025 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC
3:2
May 17, 2025 MLS
Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire
1:4
Oct 2, 2024 MLS
Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire
4:3
May 16, 2024 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chicago Fire Compare

Top Goalscorer Lewandowski R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Charlotte FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Biel P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Fire 31 / 100
Charlotte FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Fire Charlotte FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago Fire found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Charlotte FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Chicago Fire went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chicago Fire VS Charlotte FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chicago Fire

(Home)
02 Aug
Chicago Fire
2 : 1
Charlotte FC
25 Jul
New York City
3 : 1
Chicago Fire
22 Jul
Inter Miami
3 : 2
Chicago Fire
24 May
Chicago Fire
2 : 1
Toronto FC
16 May
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Chicago Fire
Page 1 of 6

Charlotte FC

(Away)
02 Aug
Chicago Fire
2 : 1
Charlotte FC
25 Jul
New York Red Bulls
0 : 2
Charlotte FC
23 Jul
Charlotte FC
2 : 2
Atlanta United
23 May
Charlotte FC
1 : 0
New England Revolution
16 May
Charlotte FC
3 : 1
Toronto FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 17 10 4 3 38:17 34
2 Los Angeles FC 19 10 4 5 35:19 34
3 San Jose Earthquakes 18 10 3 5 37:24 33
4 Houston Dynamo 17 9 2 6 25:24 29
5 Real Salt Lake 17 8 3 6 29:25 27
6 FC Dallas 18 7 6 5 32:25 27
7 St. Louis City 18 7 5 6 24:24 26
8 Portland Timbers 18 7 3 8 33:33 24
9 Seattle Sounders 17 7 3 7 20:22 24
10 Minnesota United 18 6 6 6 20:25 24
11 Colorado Rapids 18 7 1 10 27:25 22
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 19 5 7 7 24:29 22
13 San Diego FC 18 5 6 7 32:29 21
14 Austin FC 18 4 5 9 22:36 17
15 Sporting Kansas City 18 4 2 12 18:46 14
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 18 12 4 2 35:14 40
2 Inter Miami 18 11 5 2 45:32 38
3 New England Revolution 17 9 3 5 28:21 30
4 Chicago Fire 17 9 2 6 32:23 29
5 New York City 18 7 5 6 31:24 26
6 FC Cincinnati 18 7 5 6 45:44 26
7 Charlotte FC 18 7 4 7 29:27 25
8 New York Red Bulls 18 7 4 7 29:39 25
9 DC United 18 5 8 5 26:29 23
10 Orlando City 18 6 2 10 30:47 20
11 Columbus Crew 18 5 5 8 26:28 20
12 Toronto FC 18 3 8 7 24:32 17
13 Philadelphia Union 18 4 4 10 25:33 16
14 CF Montreal 18 4 4 10 24:35 16
15 Atlanta United 18 3 3 12 19:33 12
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)