Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colegiales vs Almagro

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio de Colegiales, Buenos Aires
Colegiales Logo

Colegiales

1 - 0
FT
Almagro Logo

Almagro

Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Macies T.
46'
Sub
Mamani M. In: Montiel F.
Out: Mamani M.
46'
Sub
Ocampo E. In: Monserrat R. E.
Out: Ocampo E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Colegiales in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colegiales.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Colegiales
33%
Draws
27%
Almagro
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Colegiales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Colegiales lately — more wins on the board than Almagro.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Colegiales taking it.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Colegiales Clean Sheet 68%
Almagro Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colegiales Almagro
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Primera Nacional
Colegiales vs Almagro
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 Primera Nacional
Colegiales vs Almagro
2:0
Apr 6, 2025 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Colegiales
0:0
Jul 8, 2015 Primera B
Almagro vs Colegiales
1:0
Feb 22, 2015 Primera B
Colegiales vs Almagro
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colegiales Compare

Top Goalscorer Monserrat R. E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Almagro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colegiales 50 / 100
Almagro 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colegiales Almagro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Colegiales scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Almagro let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Colegiales went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colegiales VS Almagro
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Colegiales

(Home)
01 Aug
Colegiales
2 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
26 Jul
Quilmes
0 : 1
Colegiales
14 Jul
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 0
Colegiales
04 Jul
Colegiales
1 : 2
Gimnasia y Tiro
20 Jun
Colegiales
3 : 1
Quilmes
Page 1 of 6

Almagro

(Away)
01 Aug
Almagro
1 : 1
Midland
27 Jul
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 3
Almagro
12 Jul
San Martin T.
3 : 0
Almagro
04 Jul
Almagro
1 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
20 Jun
Almagro
2 : 0
Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 23 13 4 6 26:21 43
2 Deportivo Moron 22 11 5 6 33:21 38
3 Colon Santa Fe 23 9 9 5 28:19 36
4 Almirante Brown 23 9 8 6 17:13 35
5 Godoy Cruz 22 9 7 6 25:19 34
6 Ciudad Bolivar 23 8 10 5 21:19 34
7 Los Andes 22 8 9 5 19:9 33
8 Deportivo Madryn 22 8 9 5 29:22 33
9 CA Estudiantes 23 8 8 7 20:19 32
10 Racing Cordoba 23 7 6 10 22:28 27
11 San Miguel 22 5 11 6 17:22 26
12 Defensores de Belgrano 22 5 10 7 15:19 25
13 CA Mitre 23 5 10 8 22:27 25
14 San Telmo 22 5 8 9 18:23 23
15 All Boys 23 4 11 8 13:22 23
16 Chaco For Ever 22 5 7 10 20:26 22
17 Central Norte 22 5 7 10 14:23 22
18 Acassuso 22 5 6 11 16:24 21
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnasia Jujuy 22 12 5 5 35:25 41
2 Tristan Suarez 22 10 9 3 21:12 39
3 Temperley 23 9 10 4 24:20 37
4 Atletico Atlanta 22 11 3 8 28:22 36
5 Midland 22 9 7 6 23:16 34
6 Deportivo Maipu 23 9 5 9 31:24 32
7 Gimnasia y Tiro 22 8 7 7 22:22 31
8 Atl. Rafaela 23 8 7 8 17:19 31
9 San Martin T. 23 7 9 7 21:19 30
10 Colegiales 22 8 5 9 21:21 29
11 Nueva Chicago 22 7 8 7 20:20 29
12 Almagro 22 8 5 9 20:24 29
13 San Martin S.J. 21 7 6 8 22:22 27
14 Chacarita Juniors 22 7 5 10 18:23 26
15 Quilmes 22 6 7 9 21:20 25
16 Patronato 22 4 11 7 16:21 23
17 Agropecuario 23 5 8 10 18:28 23
18 Club Atletico Guemes 22 5 4 13 20:39 19
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)