Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Curico Unido vs Antofagasta

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Bicentenario La Granja, Curicó
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Ormeno E.
46'
Sub
Hurtado B. In: Campillay K.
Out: Hurtado B.
53'
Sub
Aliaga I. In: Benegas L.
Out: Aliaga I.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Curico Unido and Antofagasta finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Curico Unido.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Curico Unido
39%
Draws
30%
Antofagasta
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Antofagasta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Curico Unido Clean Sheet 16%
Antofagasta Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curico Unido Antofagasta
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs Antofagasta
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Curico Unido
0:2
May 25, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs Antofagasta
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs Antofagasta
0:2
Jun 2, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Curico Unido
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Curico Unido Compare

Top Goalscorer Inostroza B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Antofagasta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curico Unido 31 / 100
Antofagasta 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curico Unido Antofagasta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Curico Unido has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Curico Unido scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Antofagasta let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Curico Unido VS Antofagasta
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Curico Unido

(Home)
05 Jul
Nublense
2 : 2
Curico Unido
28 Jun
Curico Unido
2 : 2
U. De Concepcion
21 Jun
Curico Unido
1 : 0
Nublense
08 Jun
Deportes Temuco
0 : 1
Curico Unido
01 Jun
Curico Unido
1 : 0
Antofagasta
Page 1 of 6

Antofagasta

(Away)
12 Jul
Antofagasta
1 : 0
Cobresal
05 Jul
La Serena
2 : 4
Antofagasta
28 Jun
Cobresal
0 : 1
Antofagasta
21 Jun
Antofagasta
4 : 2
La Serena
07 Jun
Antofagasta
0 : 0
Magallanes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa1585230:1729
2S. Wanderers1575329:1826
3San Marcos de Arica1567219:1125
4Deportes Temuco1565426:1823
5Antofagasta1565422:1623
6San Luis1565424:2123
7D. Puerto Montt1572617:1623
8U. Espanola1564521:1922
9Magallanes1564524:2422
10Recoleta1564524:2422
11Copiapo1564521:2322
12Curico Unido1546516:2418
13San Felipe1544713:2716
14Deportes Iquique1527619:2313
15Deportes Santa Cruz1526719:2612
16Rangers15031211:283
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)