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Dandenong Thunder vs Dandenong City SC

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria 2025 George Andrews Reserve, Melbourne
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Latham J.
89'
Alessi D.

AI Match Summary

Dandenong City SC in this NPL Victoria 2025 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Dandenong Thunder
6%
Draws
90%
Dandenong City SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dandenong City SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dandenong Thunder haven't matched Dandenong City SC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Dandenong City SC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Dandenong City SC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dandenong City SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Dandenong Thunder Clean Sheet 10%
Dandenong City SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dandenong Thunder Dandenong City SC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 NPL Victoria
Dandenong Thunder vs Dandenong City SC
0:3
Apr 24, 2026 NPL Victoria
Dandenong City SC vs Dandenong Thunder
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 NPL Victoria
Dandenong Thunder vs Dandenong City SC
0:1
May 30, 2025 NPL Victoria
Dandenong City SC vs Dandenong Thunder
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 NPL Victoria
Dandenong Thunder vs Dandenong City SC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dandenong Thunder Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Dandenong City SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Latham J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dandenong Thunder 10 / 100
Dandenong City SC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dandenong Thunder Dandenong City SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dandenong Thunder found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Dandenong City SC let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Dandenong Thunder stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dandenong Thunder VS Dandenong City SC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dandenong Thunder

(Home)
01 Aug
Dandenong Thunder
0 : 3
Dandenong City SC
25 Jul
Dandenong Thunder
0 : 2
Altona Magic
17 Jul
Green Gully
3 : 1
Dandenong Thunder
11 Jul
Dandenong Thunder
2 : 1
Bentleigh Greens
05 Jul
South Melbourne
1 : 0
Dandenong Thunder
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Dandenong City SC

(Away)
01 Aug
Dandenong Thunder
0 : 3
Dandenong City SC
24 Jul
Green Gully
0 : 0
Dandenong City SC
17 Jul
Bentleigh Greens
2 : 1
Dandenong City SC
10 Jul
Dandenong City SC
0 : 2
South Melbourne
04 Jul
Hume City
0 : 0
Dandenong City SC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Heidelberg Utd -
TBD -
Oakleigh Cannons 1
Preston Lions 2
Avondale FC -
TBD -
Dandenong Thunder 0
Dandenong City SC 1
Semi-finals
Heidelberg Utd 2
Preston Lions 1
Avondale FC 0
Dandenong City SC 1
Final
Heidelberg Utd 2
Dandenong City SC 1