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Elazigspor vs Muglaspor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group 2025/2026 Elazig Ataturk Stadyumu, Elazığ
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Yavuz H.
Penalty Missed
58' Event
Bavuk F.
Assist: Aytac S.

AI Match Summary

Elazigspor in this 2. Lig White Group 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elazigspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Elazigspor
28%
Draws
22%
Muglaspor
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Elazigspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elazigspor lately — more wins on the board than Muglaspor.
  • Elazigspor are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Muglaspor here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Elazigspor Clean Sheet 68%
Muglaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elazigspor Muglaspor
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 20 19
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 2.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 2. Lig Play Offs
Muglaspor vs Elazigspor
1:0
Mar 11, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Elazigspor vs Muglaspor
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 2. Lig White Group
Muglaspor vs Elazigspor
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elazigspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Bavuk F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Muglaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elazigspor 59 / 100
Muglaspor 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elazigspor Muglaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elazigspor scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Elazigspor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Muglaspor let in goals in 39% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Elazigspor VS Muglaspor
2.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Elazigspor

(Home)
10 May
Muglaspor
1 : 0
Elazigspor
04 May
Elazigspor
2 : 1
Adana 01
30 Apr
Adana 01
2 : 4
Elazigspor
25 Apr
Elazigspor
2 : 0
24Erzincanspor
19 Apr
Iskenderunspor
0 : 1
Elazigspor
Page 1 of 7

Muglaspor

(Away)
10 May
Muglaspor
1 : 0
Elazigspor
04 May
Muglaspor
1 : 1
Sanliurfaspor
30 Apr
Sanliurfaspor
0 : 1
Muglaspor
25 Apr
Kastamonuspor
0 : 3
Muglaspor
19 Apr
Muglaspor
0 : 0
Sanliurfaspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batman Petrolspor 36 25 8 3 86:33 83
2 Muglaspor 36 21 9 6 51:19 72
3 Elazigspor 36 21 6 9 82:37 69
4 Adana 01 36 19 10 7 55:35 67
5 Sanliurfaspor 36 19 8 9 63:43 65
6 Ankaragucu 36 18 9 9 52:41 63
7 Inegolspor 36 16 12 8 67:44 60
8 Iskenderunspor 36 16 8 12 50:44 56
9 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 36 13 15 8 45:35 54
10 Ankaraspor 36 13 13 10 64:54 52
11 24Erzincanspor 36 15 6 15 55:49 51
12 Kastamonuspor 36 11 9 16 44:56 42
13 Karacabey Bld. 36 11 8 17 46:55 41
14 Altinordu 36 8 11 17 33:59 35
15 Erbaaspor 36 10 7 19 40:61 34
16 Beykoz Anadolu 36 8 6 22 37:66 30
17 Kepez Bld. 36 5 8 23 33:78 23
18 Karaman FK 36 4 9 23 30:86 21
19 Bucaspor 1928 36 4 8 24 38:76 17
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)