Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ellas Syrou vs Kalamata

Greece Greece

Super League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Tselios I.
63' Event
Trimmatis A.
90' Event
Miranda J.

AI Match Summary

Kalamata in this Super League 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kalamata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ellas Syrou
44%
Draws
20%
Kalamata
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Kalamata have won more games recently than Ellas Syrou.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ellas Syrou Clean Sheet 22%
Kalamata Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ellas Syrou Kalamata
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 24
Draws 9 3
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Super League 2
Ellas Syrou vs Kalamata
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Super League 2
Kalamata vs Ellas Syrou
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ellas Syrou Compare

Top Goalscorer Trimmatis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kalamata Compare

Top Goalscorer Tselios I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miranda J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ellas Syrou 37 / 100
Kalamata 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ellas Syrou Kalamata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ellas Syrou found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Ellas Syrou went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Kalamata conceded in 45% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ellas Syrou VS Kalamata
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ellas Syrou

(Home)
25 Apr
Panargiakos
0 : 1
Ellas Syrou
19 Apr
Ellas Syrou
0 : 0
Athens Kallithea
04 Apr
Ilioupoli
0 : 2
Ellas Syrou
29 Mar
PAE Egaleo
2 : 1
Ellas Syrou
21 Mar
Ellas Syrou
1 : 0
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
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Kalamata

(Away)
28 Mar
Kalamata
1 : 0
Iraklis FC
21 Mar
Marko
0 : 0
Kalamata
15 Mar
Kalamata
1 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus B
07 Mar
Panionios
0 : 1
Kalamata
01 Mar
Kalamata
2 : 0
Marko
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraklis FC 18 13 5 0 34:13 44
2 Niki Volos 18 11 6 1 41:10 39
3 Karditsa 18 12 3 3 25:10 39
4 Asteras Tripolis B 18 9 5 4 25:17 32
5 PAOK B 18 7 3 8 25:23 24
6 Kavala 18 6 5 7 16:22 23
7 Chrisoupolis 18 5 3 10 13:21 18
8 Kampaniakos 18 4 3 11 12:32 15
9 Giannina 18 2 4 12 10:24 10
10 Makedonikos Neapolis 18 1 3 14 8:37 6
Promotion - Super League 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kalamata 18 16 2 0 44:10 50
2 Panionios 18 13 4 1 28:8 43
3 Marko 18 9 4 5 21:13 31
4 Olympiacos Piraeus B 18 8 3 7 23:26 27
5 Athens Kallithea 18 7 5 6 21:17 26
6 Ellas Syrou 18 6 6 6 25:18 24
7 PAE Egaleo 18 4 5 9 14:22 17
8 Ilioupoli 18 4 3 11 14:29 15
9 PAE Chania (Kissamikos) 18 3 3 12 11:28 12
10 Panargiakos 18 0 5 13 8:38 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 (Relegation Group)