Sport Picks
Ertis Pavlodar 2 vs Asbest Zitikara
Kazakhstan
First Division 2005 
AI Match Summary
The First Division 2005 game between Ertis Pavlodar 2 and Asbest Zitikara finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ertis Pavlodar 2
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ertis Pavlodar 2 come out ahead of Asbest Zitikara on wins alone.
- Ertis Pavlodar 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ertis Pavlodar 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Asbest Zitikara Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ertis Pavlodar 2 | Asbest Zitikara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 12 | 29 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 3.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 11, 2007 First League
Asbest Zitikara vs Ertis Pavlodar 2
1:0
May 13, 2007 First League
Ertis Pavlodar 2 vs Asbest Zitikara
1:2
Aug 9, 2006 First League
Ertis Pavlodar 2 vs Asbest Zitikara
1:1
Jul 21, 2006 First League
Asbest Zitikara vs Ertis Pavlodar 2
2:1
Oct 27, 2005 First League
Ertis Pavlodar 2 vs Asbest Zitikara
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ertis Pavlodar 2 85 / 100
Asbest Zitikara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ertis Pavlodar 2 Asbest Zitikara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ERT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ertis Pavlodar 2's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Asbest Zitikara has conceded goals in 94% of their last 32 outings.
Difficult form: Asbest Zitikara registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
- VS Asbest Zitikara
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 3.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ertis Pavlodar 2
(Home) 26 Oct
Tobol 2
2 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar 2
22 Oct
Ertis Pavlodar 2
5 : 2 Aksu
19 Oct
Ertis Pavlodar 2
1 : 2 Avangard Petropavlovsk
11 Oct
Asbest Zitikara
1 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar 2
01 Oct
Ertis Pavlodar 2
4 : 1 Shakhter Karagandy 2
Page 1 of 6
22 Oct
Ertis Pavlodar 2
5 : 2 Aksu
19 Oct
Ertis Pavlodar 2
1 : 2 Avangard Petropavlovsk
01 Oct
Ertis Pavlodar 2
4 : 1 Shakhter Karagandy 2
28 Sept
Ertis Pavlodar 2
1 : 4 Kazakhmys
07 Sept
Ertis Pavlodar 2
1 : 0 Batyr Ekibastuz
Page 1 of 3
Asbest Zitikara
(Away) 24 Oct
Cesna Almaty
3 : 0 Asbest Zitikara
21 Oct
Ile-Saulet
3 : 0 Asbest Zitikara
15 Oct
Asbest Zitikara
0 : 3 Ak Bulak
12 Oct
Asbest Zitikara
0 : 3 Gefest Karagandy
03 Oct
Kyzylzhar
3 : 0 Asbest Zitikara
Page 1 of 7
24 Oct
Cesna Almaty
3 : 0 Asbest Zitikara
21 Oct
Ile-Saulet
3 : 0 Asbest Zitikara
03 Oct
Kyzylzhar
3 : 0 Asbest Zitikara
26 Sept
Taraz-Karatau 2
3 : 0 Asbest Zitikara
23 Sept
Kaisar Kyzylorda
3 : 0 Asbest Zitikara
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 51:10 | 55 |
| 2 | Cesna Almaty | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 70:23 | 48 |
| 4 | Gornyak Khromtay | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 30:26 | 42 |
| 5 | Kaspij Aktau | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 31:17 | 36 |
| 6 | Ordabasy 2 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 40:48 | 31 |
| 7 | Zhambyl Taraz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 24:31 | 24 |
| 8 | Munaily Atyrau | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 20:38 | 24 |
| 9 | AI-Universitet | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19:41 | 21 |
| 10 | Zhastar Uralsk | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 21:46 | 18 |
| 11 | Aktobe 2 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 26:65 | 12 |
| 12 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14:42 | 9 |
Promotion - Premier League 2006 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Energetik Pavlodar | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 109:7 | 66 |
| 2 | Spartak Semey | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 76:17 | 59 |
| 3 | Ertis Pavlodar 2 | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 60:28 | 48 |
| 4 | Shakhter Yunost | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 35:30 | 41 |
| 5 | Ayat Rudnyi | 24 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 28:40 | 33 |
| 6 | Asbest Zitikara | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 30:34 | 33 |
| 7 | Eurasia Astana | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 25:34 | 31 |
| 8 | Vostok Oskemen 2 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 9 | Aksu | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 22:43 | 24 |
| 10 | Batyr Ekibastuz | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 25:52 | 22 |
| 11 | Spartak Semey 2 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 23:59 | 21 |
| 12 | Kyzylzhar Academy | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 20:73 | 19 |
| 13 | Bolat | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 12:44 | 19 |
Promotion - Premier League 2006 (Main)