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Fiaes vs Leca

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2009/2010
Sun, Sep 13, 2009
0 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Leca advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Fiaes
20%
Draws
38%
Leca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fiaes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leca come out ahead of Fiaes on wins alone.
  • Fiaes are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Leca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Leca, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Fiaes Clean Sheet 12%
Leca Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiaes Leca
Matches Played 13 30
Wins 6 18
Draws 0 9
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 0 2.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2009 Taça de Portugal
Fiaes vs Leca
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiaes 40 / 100
Leca 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiaes Leca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Fiaes found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (13 games).

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Fiaes went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leca
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiaes

(Home)
10 Aug
Fiaes
0 : 3
Tirsense
26 Aug
Beira Mar
1 : 0
Fiaes
19 Sept
Fiaes
0 : 2
Varzim
05 Sept
UD Gandara
0 : 3
Fiaes
13 Sept
Fiaes
0 : 1
Leca
Page 1 of 3

Leca

(Away)
29 Jul
Leca
0 : 0
Lusitania FC
15 Jul
Santa Clara
4 : 0
Leca
10 Jun
Leca
2 : 1
Vitoria Sernache
31 May
Leca
1 : 0
GD Braganca
22 May
Rebordosa
2 : 1
Leca
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chaves 3
Leca 0
Coimbroes 2
Uniao Da Serra 3
Academica 2
Portimonense 1
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Beira Mar 4
Nacional 2
Varzim 1
Vila Mea 0
Fatima 3
Tirsense 1
Oliv. Bairro 0
Aljustrelense 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Pinhalnovense 1
Sintrense 0
Operario 1
Oeiras 6
Vigor Mocidade 4
Cruzado Canicense 1
Paredes 1
Camacha 3
Aliados Lordelo 2
Machico 0
Casa Pia 1
Leixoes 2
Gil Vicente 6
Nelas 1
Padroense 0
Naval 1
Rio Ave 2
Esmoriz 1
Maritimo 1
Santa Clara 2
Benfica 6
Monsanto 0
Feirense 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Freamunde 3
Carregado 0
Merelinense 1
Leiria 2
Vitoria Setubal 2
Atletico CP 0
Covilha 0
Braga 1
Sporting CP 3
Penafiel 0
Cinfaes 1
Pescadores Caparica 2
U. Madeira 2
Alcains 0
Vieira 0
Mafra 1
BSAD 3
Oriental 1
Olhanense 1
Valenciano 2
Oliveirense 2
Tondela 1
Sertanense 0
FC Porto 4
1/16-finals
Chaves 2
Uniao Da Serra 0
Academica 1
Beira Mar 2
Nacional 1
Fatima 0
Tirsense 0
Pacos Ferreira 1
Pinhalnovense 2
Oeiras 1
Vigor Mocidade 0
Camacha 1
Aliados Lordelo 1
Leixoes 0
Gil Vicente 2
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Santa Clara 0
Benfica 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Freamunde 3
Leiria 2
Vitoria Setubal 0
Braga 3
Sporting CP 4
Pescadores Caparica 1
U. Madeira 1
Mafra 2
BSAD 1
Valenciano 0
Oliveirense 0
FC Porto 2
1/8-finals
Chaves 1
Beira Mar 0
Nacional 1
Pacos Ferreira 2
Pinhalnovense 1
Camacha 0
Aliados Lordelo 0
Naval 1
Rio Ave 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Freamunde 1
Braga 3
Sporting CP 4
Mafra 3
BSAD 2
FC Porto 3
Quarter-finals
Chaves 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Pinhalnovense 1
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Braga 0
Sporting CP 2
FC Porto 5
Semi-finals
Chaves 3
Naval 1
Rio Ave 1
FC Porto 7
Final
Chaves 1
FC Porto 2