Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Foggia vs Potenza

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Pino Zaccheria, Foggia
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Biasiol E.
41'
Romeo F.
45'
Dimarco C.

AI Match Summary

Potenza in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Potenza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Foggia
20%
Draws
38%
Potenza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Foggia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Potenza have won more games recently than Foggia.
  • Win probability leans Foggia's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Foggia Clean Sheet 16%
Potenza Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foggia Potenza
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 13
Draws 5 10
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.5 2
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Potenza
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Foggia
3:0
Feb 23, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Potenza
3:4
Oct 13, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Foggia
1:1
Apr 13, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Foggia
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Foggia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Potenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Siatounis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foggia 41 / 100
Potenza 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foggia Potenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Potenza conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

Foggia found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Foggia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Foggia VS Potenza
0.5 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
33% Over 1.5 88%
17% Over 2.5 75%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Foggia

(Home)
26 Apr
Foggia
1 : 3
Salernitana
19 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
12 Apr
Foggia
1 : 1
Siracusa
04 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0
Foggia
29 Mar
Foggia
1 : 0
Trapani
Page 1 of 6

Potenza

(Away)
26 Jul
Potenza
0 : 4
Juve Stabia
20 May
Ascoli
1 : 0
Potenza
17 May
Potenza
0 : 0
Ascoli
13 May
Potenza
3 : 1
Campobasso
10 May
Campobasso
0 : 3
Potenza
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)