Sport Picks
Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom
Norway
Eliteserien Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad 
Match Events
15'
15'
Karlsbakk M.
43'
43'
Nilsson M.
59'
59'
Sub
Alperud L. In: Felix Va
Out: Alperud L.
AI Match Summary
Lillestrom in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lillestrom.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lillestrom
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lillestrom lately — more wins on the board than Fredrikstad.
- Model gives Lillestrom a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 14%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fredrikstad | Lillestrom |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom
0:2
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad
2:2
May 21, 2025 NM Cup
Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad
2:1
Mar 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fredrikstad Compare
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Lillestrom Compare
Top Goalscorer Nyheim G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Olsen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fredrikstad 27 / 100
Lillestrom 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fredrikstad Lillestrom
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fredrikstad's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Lillestrom let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Fredrikstad remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Fredrikstad VS Lillestrom
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Fredrikstad
(Home) 01 Aug
Fredrikstad
1 : 0 Sandefjord
27 Jul
Rosenborg
4 : 0 Fredrikstad
17 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0 Fredrikstad
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2 Lillestrom
04 Jul
Valerenga
3 : 1 Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Fredrikstad
1 : 0 Sandefjord
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2 Lillestrom
28 Jun
Fredrikstad
0 : 0 Elfsborg
20 Jun
Fredrikstad
1 : 1 Ham-Kam
29 May
Fredrikstad
2 : 1 Start
Page 1 of 3
Lillestrom
(Away) 31 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 0 Lillestrom
22 Jul
Lillestrom
1 : 2 Viking
18 Jul
Lillestrom
2 : 1 KFUM Oslo
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2 Lillestrom
03 Jul
Lillestrom
3 : 1 Sarpsborg 08
Page 1 of 6
31 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 0 Lillestrom
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2 Lillestrom
20 Jun
Midtjylland
1 : 0 Lillestrom
25 May
Ham-Kam
2 : 0 Lillestrom
10 May
Rosenborg
2 : 0 Lillestrom
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 41:11 | 38 |
| 2 | Viking | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 37:14 | 37 |
| 3 | Tromso | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 32:17 | 34 |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22:18 | 25 |
| 5 | Molde | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 28:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Brann | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 33:27 | 22 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | 22 |
| 8 | Ham-Kam | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23:26 | 21 |
| 9 | Valerenga | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 22:27 | 20 |
| 10 | Rosenborg | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21:21 | 18 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:27 | 17 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13:21 | 15 |
| 13 | KFUM Oslo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 21:35 | 13 |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13:25 | 12 |
| 16 | Start | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16:37 | 10 |
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
