Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gangwon vs Gwangju FC

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Chuncheon Songam Stadium, Chuncheon
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Tuci M.
13' Event
Mo Jae-Hyeon
38'
Seo Min-Woo

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Gangwon and Gwangju FC finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gangwon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Gangwon
6%
Draws
4%
Gwangju FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gangwon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gangwon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Gangwon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Gangwon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Gangwon Clean Sheet 68%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gangwon Gwangju FC
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 5
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0.25
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Gangwon
0:0
Apr 4, 2026 K League 1
Gangwon vs Gwangju FC
3:0
Aug 23, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Gangwon
0:1
May 25, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Gangwon
0:1
Apr 13, 2025 K League 1
Gangwon vs Gwangju FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gangwon Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuci M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mo Jae-Hyeon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gwangju FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gangwon 95 / 100
Gwangju FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gangwon Gwangju FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gangwon scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Gwangju FC has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Gangwon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Gwangju FC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gangwon VS Gwangju FC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gangwon

(Home)
18 Jul
Gangwon
2 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
13 Jul
Vietnam
2 : 1
Gangwon
12 Jul
Seoul
0 : 0
Gangwon
04 Jul
Jeonbuk
1 : 2
Gangwon
17 May
Gangwon
2 : 0
Ulsan Hyundai
Page 1 of 6

Gwangju FC

(Away)
19 Jul
Anyang
1 : 1
Gwangju FC
11 Jul
Gwangju FC
0 : 3
Pohang
05 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Ulsan Hyundai
16 May
Incheon
4 : 0
Gwangju FC
12 May
Gwangju FC
0 : 1
Seoul
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul18123331:1339
2Gangwon1887323:1131
3Jeonbuk1885525:1629
4Ulsan Hyundai1884626:2628
5Pohang1884619:1628
6Anyang1859423:2024
7Incheon1873822:1924
8Jeju SK1865716:1823
9Daejeon1847721:2019
10Bucheon FC 19951847715:2119
11Gimcheon Sangmu18210617:2516
12Gwangju FC1816119:429
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)