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Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs CD Barquereno

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Gutierrez H.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 game between Gimnastic de Torrelavega and CD Barquereno finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Barquereno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
6%
Draws
4%
CD Barquereno
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gimnastic de Torrelavega

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Barquereno haven't matched Gimnastic de Torrelavega's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gimnastic de Torrelavega a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Clean Sheet 68%
CD Barquereno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnastic de Torrelavega CD Barquereno
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 24 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 2 16
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1:5
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs CD Barquereno
0:1
Mar 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs CD Barquereno
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnastic de Torrelavega Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

CD Barquereno Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnastic de Torrelavega 95 / 100
CD Barquereno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnastic de Torrelavega CD Barquereno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gimnastic de Torrelavega scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Gimnastic de Torrelavega stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

CD Barquereno has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Gimnastic de Torrelavega VS CD Barquereno
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnastic de Torrelavega

(Home)
09 May
CD Barquereno
1 : 5
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
01 May
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
6 : 0
SD Noja
26 Apr
Castro
2 : 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
19 Apr
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 0
Cayon CD
11 Apr
CD Montanas del Pas
1 : 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
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CD Barquereno

(Away)
09 May
CD Barquereno
1 : 5
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
03 May
SD Revilla
1 : 1
CD Barquereno
26 Apr
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Guarnizo
19 Apr
CD Colindres
3 : 0
CD Barquereno
12 Apr
CD Barquereno
2 : 2
Selaya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnastic de Torrelavega34265386:1583
2CD Laredo34218563:2871
3CD Tropezon34214950:2767
4Guarnizo34199647:2666
5UM Escobedo342121165:4365
6Vimenor34178947:3659
7Atletico Albericia341751261:4556
8Cayon CD341751250:4156
9Torina341581139:4053
10Bezana341381343:3847
11Castro341081644:4738
12Selaya34881832:4432
13SD Revilla34871935:6331
14CD Barquereno34862037:6430
15UC Cartes346101828:5228
16CD Colindres346101827:4728
17CD Montanas del Pas34682035:8726
18SD Noja34472322:6819
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)