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Grasshoppers vs Luzern

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Letzigrund Stadion, Zürich
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Imourane H.
46'
Sub
Villiger L. In: Kabwit O.
Out: Villiger L.
46'
Sub
Silva L. In: Spadanuda K.
Out: Silva L.

AI Match Summary

Luzern in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luzern.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Grasshoppers
28%
Draws
50%
Luzern
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Luzern

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Luzern lately — more wins on the board than Grasshoppers.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Luzern taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Luzern have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Grasshoppers Clean Sheet 13%
Luzern Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grasshoppers Luzern
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Super League
Grasshoppers vs Luzern
1:2
Feb 10, 2026 Super League
Luzern vs Grasshoppers
4:3
Nov 2, 2025 Super League
Luzern vs Grasshoppers
6:0
Jul 26, 2025 Super League
Grasshoppers vs Luzern
2:3
Apr 6, 2025 Super League
Grasshoppers vs Luzern
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grasshoppers Compare

Top Goalscorer Imourane H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Luzern Compare

Top Goalscorer Spadanuda K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grasshoppers 22 / 100
Luzern 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grasshoppers Luzern

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Grasshoppers found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Luzern has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Luzern registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grasshoppers VS Luzern
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grasshoppers

(Home)
02 Aug
Grasshoppers
1 : 4
Lugano
25 Jul
Lausanne
1 : 1
Grasshoppers
18 Jul
Altach
3 : 1
Grasshoppers
11 Jul
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Grasshoppers
04 Jul
Wil
3 : 2
Grasshoppers
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Luzern

(Away)
02 Aug
Sion
3 : 0
Luzern
25 Jul
Luzern
1 : 3
Thun
18 Jul
Luzern
1 : 2
St. Truiden
10 Jul
Wil
0 : 2
Luzern
04 Jul
Luzern
3 : 2
Winterthur
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Luzern 38 14 11 13 76:66 53
8 Servette 38 13 14 11 71:63 53
9 Lausanne 38 11 9 18 53:67 42
10 Zurich 38 11 5 22 49:72 38
11 Grasshoppers 38 8 9 21 48:74 33
12 Winterthur 38 5 8 25 44:100 23
Relegation - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Challenge League (Main)