Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grossbardorf vs Weiden

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Strohmenger T.
41' Event
Gotz S.
66' Event
Stecklein T.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2022/2023 game between Grossbardorf and Weiden finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grossbardorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Grossbardorf
22%
Draws
18%
Weiden
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Grossbardorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grossbardorf come out ahead of Weiden on wins alone.
  • Model gives Grossbardorf a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Grossbardorf Clean Sheet 20%
Weiden Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grossbardorf Weiden
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 13 12
Draws 3 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.8 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.4 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.40 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Grossbardorf vs Weiden
3:0
Oct 22, 2022 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Grossbardorf
2:4
Oct 21, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Grossbardorf
2:2
Jul 15, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Grossbardorf vs Weiden
3:3
Mar 25, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Grossbardorf vs Weiden
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grossbardorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Strohmenger T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gotz S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.4

Weiden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grossbardorf 58 / 100
Weiden 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grossbardorf Weiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Grossbardorf scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Weiden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

Solid form: Grossbardorf remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grossbardorf VS Weiden
0.8 Goals Scored 1.25
0.4 Goals Conceded 0.63
40% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Grossbardorf

(Home)
25 Jul
ASV Neumarkt
0 : 1
Grossbardorf
21 Jul
Grossbardorf
0 : 2
Wurzburger FV
25 May
ATSV Erlangen
0 : 1
Grossbardorf
21 May
Grossbardorf
2 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
29 Jun
Coburg
1 : 2
Grossbardorf
Page 1 of 6

Weiden

(Away)
31 Jul
DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
2 : 2
Weiden
24 Jul
Weiden
0 : 1
Cham
21 Jul
Bamberg
4 : 1
Weiden
16 May
Fortuna Regensburg
4 : 2
Weiden
08 May
Weiden
5 : 0
Coburg
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bamberg 34 23 9 2 75:33 78
2 Gebenbach 34 23 3 8 92:47 72
3 Eltersdorf 34 22 5 7 67:32 71
4 Abtswind 34 19 7 8 64:38 64
5 SV Donaustauf 34 19 4 11 83:49 61
6 DJK Ammerthal 34 14 11 9 67:62 53
7 Cham 34 13 10 11 55:52 49
8 Regensburg II 34 13 8 13 74:61 47
9 TSV Kornburg 34 13 7 14 37:49 46
10 Wurzburger FV 34 13 6 15 50:50 45
11 ASV Neumarkt 34 13 5 16 56:63 44
12 ATSV Erlangen 34 12 5 17 59:60 41
13 Feucht 34 10 11 13 53:75 41
14 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 34 10 6 18 47:62 36
15 Bayern Hof 34 8 11 15 42:61 35
16 Grossbardorf 34 10 4 20 51:68 34
17 Weiden 34 7 7 20 56:77 28
18 Geesdorf 34 3 3 28 27:116 12
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2022/2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2022/2023 (Relegation)