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Gurupi vs Tocantinopolis

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense
Gurupi Logo

Gurupi

0 - 2
FT
Tocantinopolis Logo

Tocantinopolis

Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Ramos
72' Event
Dhonata
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tocantinense game between Gurupi and Tocantinopolis finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tocantinopolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gurupi
30%
Draws
34%
Tocantinopolis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gurupi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Tocantinopolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gurupi are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 68%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gurupi Tocantinopolis
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 12
Draws 13 13
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Tocantinopolis
0:2
Dec 24, 2025 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Gurupi
0:0
Dec 21, 2025 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Tocantinopolis
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Gurupi
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Tocantinopolis
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gurupi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Tocantinopolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dhonata
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gurupi 46 / 100
Tocantinopolis 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gurupi Tocantinopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gurupi scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Tocantinopolis conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Gurupi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Gurupi VS Tocantinopolis
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gurupi

(Home)
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
21 Feb
Gurupi
0 : 2
Tocantinopolis
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
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Tocantinopolis

(Away)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 7 6 1 0 10:1 19
2 Uniao Carmolandense 7 4 1 2 12:5 13
3 Gurupi 7 4 1 2 10:6 13
4 Capital FC 7 2 3 2 10:9 9
5 Araguaina 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
6 Bela Vista-TO 7 2 2 3 8:14 8
7 Palmas 7 1 2 4 4:10 5
8 Guarai SC 7 0 2 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Tocantinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Tocantinense 2 2027 (Main)