Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamrun vs Sliema

Malta Malta

Premier League 2025/2026 Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Camenzuli R.
29' Event
Ceter D.
43'
Eder

AI Match Summary

Hamrun in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hamrun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Hamrun
39%
Draws
31%
Sliema
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Hamrun have won more games recently than Sliema.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Hamrun Clean Sheet 68%
Sliema Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamrun Sliema
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Premier League
Hamrun vs Sliema
2:0
Jan 10, 2026 Premier League
Hamrun vs Sliema
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Sliema vs Hamrun
2:0
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Sliema vs Hamrun
1:1
Mar 13, 2025 Premier League
Hamrun vs Sliema
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamrun Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceter D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sliema Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamrun 41 / 100
Sliema 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamrun Sliema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamrun scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Sliema has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Hamrun went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hamrun VS Sliema
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamrun

(Home)
16 Jul
Hamrun
1 : 2
NSI Runavik
09 Jul
NSI Runavik
1 : 1
Hamrun
15 May
Valletta
0 : 2
Hamrun
09 May
Marsaxlokk
2 : 1
Hamrun
02 May
Valletta
2 : 1
Hamrun
Page 1 of 7

Sliema

(Away)
25 Jul
Birkirkara
2 : 3
Sliema
30 Apr
Tarxien
2 : 1
Sliema
26 Apr
Zabbar
1 : 1
Sliema
19 Apr
Mosta FC
2 : 2
Sliema
14 Apr
Sliema
1 : 0
Birkirkara
Page 1 of 6